Decision Analysis - Statistics
PART-1 Please go through Examples 1.2 ( at page 12) and 1.4 (Sam’s Bookstore at page 20) from our textbook (in attachment ) and create Excel files as described in examples. Show all the work they implemented and get familiar with some nice features of Excel. Each example will be 20 POINTS
Page : 38-41, 46-50 in attachment
PART-2 For each of below questions I provide the solution values. So for each question you need to:`z
a) Understand problem
b) Decide on decision variables
c) Form your objective function
d) Form your constraints
e) Bring parts b, c and d all together to create a linear programming model
f) Transfer this model into Excel
g) Use solver to find optimum solution
h) Interpret the results and tell me what would be your and interpretations recommendation based on this solution.
Deliverable:
Create a single excel file and name it as Assignment week1_ yourname_lastname
For each question use a separate Excel worksheet not different files. Name worksheet-1 as Example-1, worksheet-2 as Example-2, Worksheet-3 as Q1 and worksheet-4 as Q2
Show all of your model and interpretation in the same worksheet.
Please do not copy and paste from other students. Please remember that everybody’s design will be different and there is no chance that two student’s models would be exactly same.
Please also make sure that you used SOLVER for optimum solution.
DUE DATE : Please submit your excel file before our first class on Sept 10, 2021 before our next class. Late assignments will not be accepted.
Question 1 30 POINTS
A company produces two types of tables, T1 and T2. It takes 2 hours to produce the parts of one unit of T1, 1 hour to assemble and 2 hours to polish. .It takes 4 hours to produce the parts of one unit of T2, 2.5 hour to assemble and 1.5 hours to polish. Per month, 7000 hours are available for producing the parts, 4000 hours for assembling the parts and 5500 hours for polishing the tables. The profit per unit of T1 is $90 and per unit of T2 is $110. How many of each type of tables should be produced in order to maximize the total monthly profit?
Answer 1
The maximum profit is $273000 . Hence the company needs to produce 2300 tables of type T1 and 600 tables of type T2 in order to maximize its profit.
Question-2 30 POINTS
John has $20,000 to invest in three funds F1, F2 and F3. Fund F1 is offers a return of 2% and has a low risk. Fund F2 offers a return of 4% and has a medium risk. Fund F3 offers a return of 5% but has a high risk. To be on the safe side, John invests no more than $3000 in F3 and at least twice as much as in F1 than in F2. Assuming that the rates hold till the end of the year, what amounts should he invest in each fund in order to maximize the year end return?
Answer_2
The return R is maximum at 603.33.
For maximum return, John has to invest $11333 in fund F1, $5667 in fund F2 and $3000 in fund F3.
1-3b Cost Projections
In the following example, a company wants to project its costs of producing products,
given that material and labor costs are likely to increase through time. We build a simple
model and then use Excel’s charting capabilities to obtain a graphical image of projected
costs.
The model in Figure 1.6 is still not the last word on this example. As shown in later examples, you can create data tables
to see how sensitive profit is to the inputs, the demand, and the order quantity. You can also create charts to show results graph-
ically. But this is enough for now. You can see that the model in Figure 1.6 is now much more readable and flexible than the
original model in Figure 1.2.
1 2 C h a p t e r 1 I n t r o d u c t i o n t o B u s i n e s s a n a l y t i c s
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
A B C D E F
NCAA t-shirt sales
Input egnaRselbairav names used
Fixed order cost $750 Demand ='Model 5'!$B$10
Variable cost $8 Discount_price ='Model 5'!$B$7
Selling price $18 Fixed_order_cost ='Model 5'!$B$4
Discount price $6 Order ='Model 5'!$B$13
Selling_price ='Model 5'!$B$6
Uncertain variable Variable_cost ='Model 5'!$B$5
0051dnameD
Decision variable
0541redrO
Output variables
Costs
Fixed cost $750
Variable costs $11,600
Revenues
Full-price shirts $26,100
Discount-price shirts $0
$13,750tiforP
Figure 1.6 Model with
Category Labels and Color
Coding
EXAMPLE
1.2 PROJECTING THE COSTS OF BOOKSHELVES
AT WOODWORKS
The Woodworks Company produces a variety of custom-designed wood furniture for its customers. One favorite item is a
bookshelf, made from either cherry or oak. The company knows that wood prices and labor costs are likely to increase in the
future. Table 1.1 shows the number of board-feet and labor hours required for a bookshelf, the current costs per board-foot and
labor hour, and the anticipated annual increases in these costs. (The top row indicates that either type of bookshelf requires
30 board-feet of wood and 16 hours of labor.) Build a spreadsheet model that enables the company to experiment with the
growth rates in wood and labor costs so that a manager can see, both numerically and graphically, how the costs of the book-
shelves increase in the next few years.
resource Cherry Oak Labor
Required per bookshelf 30 30 16
Current unit cost $5.50 $4.30 $18.50
Anticipated annual cost
increase
2.4% 1.7% 1.5%
Table 1.1 Input Data for
Manufacturing a Bookshelf
Objective
To learn good spreadsheet practices, to create copyable formulas with the careful use of relative and absolute addresses, and to
create line charts from multiple series of data.
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 12 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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1-3 Introduction to Spreadsheet Modeling 1 3
Solution
The completed spreadsheet model appears in Figure 1.7 and in the file Bookshelf Costs Finished.xlsx. You can develop it with
the following steps.
1. Inputs. You should usually enter the inputs for a model in the upper-left corner of a work-
sheet as you can see in the shaded ranges in Figure 1.7. We have used our standard conven-
tion of coloring inputs—the numbers from the statement of the problem—blue. You can
develop your own convention, but the input cells should be distinguished in some way. Note
that the inputs are grouped logically and are explained with appropriate labels. You should
always document your spreadsheet model with descriptive labels. Also, note that by entering
inputs explicitly in input cells, you can refer to them later in Excel formulas.
Always enter input values
in input cells and then
refer to them in Excel
formulas. Do not bury
input values in formulas.
Figure 1.7 Bookshelf Cost
Model
Relative and Absolute Addresses in Formulas
Relative and absolute addresses are used in Excel formulas to facilitate copying. A dollar sign next to a column or
row address indicates that the address is absolute and will not change when copying. The lack of a dollar sign indi-
cates that the address is relative and will change when copying. After you select a cell in a formula, you can press the
F4 key repeatedly to cycle through the relative/absolute possibilities: =B4 (both column and row relative); =$B$4
(both column and row absolute); =B$4 (column relative, row absolute); and =$B4 (column absolute, row relative).
Excel Tip
Always try to organize
your spreadsheet model
so that you can copy
formulas across multiple
cells.
2. Design output table. Plan ahead for how you want to structure your outputs. We created a table where there is a row for
every year in the future (year 0 corresponds to the current year), there are three columns for projected unit costs (columns
B–D), and there are two columns for projected total bookshelf costs (columns E and F). The headings reflect this design.
This isn’t the only possible design, but it works well. The important point is that you should have some logical design in
mind before you dive in.
3. Projected unit costs of wood. The dollar values in the range B19:F25 are calculated from
Excel formulas. Although the logic in this example is straightforward, it is still important to
have a strategy in mind before you enter formulas. In particular, you should always try to
design your spreadsheet so that you can enter a single formula and then copy it. This saves
work and avoids errors. For the costs per board-foot in columns B and C, enter the formula
=B9
in cell B19 and copy it to cell C19. Then enter the general formula
5B19*(11B$10)
in cell B20 and copy it to the range B20:C25. We assume you know the rules for absolute
and relative addresses (dollar sign for absolute, no dollar sign for relative), but it takes some
planning to use these so that copying is possible. Make sure you understand why we made
row 10 absolute but column B relative.
Typing dollar signs in
formulas for absolute
references is inefficient.
Press the F4 key instead.
Press the Fn key and
the F4 key (together) on
Mac keyboards.
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 13 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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4 Projected unit labor costs. To calculate projected hourly labor costs, enter the formula
=B13
in cell D19. Then enter the formula
5D19*(11B$14)
in cell D20 and copy it down column D.
5 Projected bookshelf costs. Each bookshelf cost is the sum of its wood and labor costs. By a careful use of absolute and
relative addresses, you can enter a single formula for these costs—for all years and for both types of wood. To do this,
enter the formula
5B$5*B191B$6*$D19
in cell E19 and copy it to the range E19:F25. The idea here is that the units of wood and labor per bookshelf are always
in rows 5 and 6, and the projected unit labor cost is always in column D, but all other references are relative to allow
copying.
6 Chart. A chart is a valuable addition to any table of data, especially in the busi-
ness world, so charting in Excel is a skill worth mastering. We illustrate some
of the possibilities here, but we urge you to experiment with other possibilities
on your own. Start by selecting the range E18:F25—yes, including the labels in
row 18. Next, click the Line dropdown list on the Insert ribbon and select the
Line with Markers type. You instantly get the line chart you want, with one series
for Cherry and another for Oak. Also, when the chart is selected (that is, it has a
border around it), you see two Chart Tools tabs, Design and Format. There are
also three useful buttons to the right of the chart. (These three buttons were intro-
duced in Excel 2013, and the two tabs condense the tools in the three tabs from
Excel 2007 and 2010.) The most important button is the Select Data button on the Design ribbon. It lets you choose the
ranges of the data for charting in case Excel’s default choices aren’t what you want. (The default choices are based on the
selected range when you create the chart.)
Click Select Data now to obtain the dialog box in Figure 1.8. On the left, you control the series (one series or multiple
series) being charted; on the right, you control the data used for the horizontal axis. By selecting E18:F25, you have the
series on the left correct, including the names of these series (Cherry and Oak), but if you didn’t, you could select one of
the series and click the Edit button to change it. The data on the horizontal axis are currently the default 1, 2, and so on. To
use the data in column A, click the Edit button on the right and select the range A19:A25. Then you can experiment with
various formatting options to make the chart even better. For example, we rescaled the vertical axis to start at $300 rather
than $0 (right-click any of the numbers on the vertical axis and select Format Axis), and we added a chart title at the top
and a title for the horizontal axis at the bottom.
1 4 C h a p t e r 1 I n t r o d u c t i o n t o B u s i n e s s a n a l y t i c s
The many chart options are easily
accessible from the Chart Tools
tabs that are visible when a chart
is selected. Don’t be afraid to
experiment with them to produce
professional-looking charts.
Figure 1.8 Select Data Source
Dialog Box
The Select Data
Source dialog box in
Excel for Mac has a
different layout, but
the options are basically the
same.
The three buttons to the
right of the chart don’t
appear in Excel for Mac.
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 14 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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Editorial review has deemed that any suppressed content does not materially affect the overall learning experience. Cengage Learning reserves the right to remove additional content at any time if subsequent rights restrictions require it.
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Using the Model for What-If Questions
The model in Figure 1.7 can now be used to answer many what-if questions. In fact, many models are built for the purpose of
permitting experimentation with various scenarios. The important point is that the model has been built in such a way that a
manager can enter any desired values in the input cells, and all outputs, including the chart, will update automatically.
1-3 Introduction to Spreadsheet Modeling 1 5
1-3c Breakeven Analysis
Many business problems require you to find the appropriate level of some activity. This
might be the level that maximizes profit (or minimizes cost), or it might be the level that
allows a company to break even—no profit, no loss. The following example illustrates a
typical breakeven analysis.
EXAMPLE
1.3 BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS AT QUALITY SWEATERS
The Quality Sweaters Company sells hand-knitted sweaters. The company is planning to print a catalog of its products and
undertake a direct mail campaign. The cost of printing the catalog is $20,000 plus $0.10 per catalog. The cost of mailing each
catalog (including postage, order forms, and buying names from a mail-order database) is $0.15. In addition, the company
plans to include direct reply envelopes in its mailings and incurs $0.20 in extra costs for each direct mail envelope used by a
respondent. The average size of a customer order is $40, and the company’s variable cost per order (primarily due to labor and
material costs) averages about 80% of the order’s value—that is, $32. The company plans to mail 100,000 catalogs. It wants to
develop a spreadsheet model to answer the following questions:
1. How does a change in the response rate affect profit?
2. For what response rate does the company break even?
Objective
To learn how to work with range names, to learn how to answer what-if questions with one-way data tables, to introduce Excel’s
Goal Seek tool, and to learn how to document and audit Excel models with cell comments and Excel’s formula auditing tools.
Solution
The completed spreadsheet model appears in Figure 1.9. (See the file Breakeven
Analysis Finished.xlsx.) First, note the clear layout of the model. The input cells
are colored blue, they are separated from the outputs, headings are boldfaced, several
headings are indented, numbers are formatted appropriately, and a list to the right
spells out all range names we have used. (See the next Excel Tip on how to create this
list.) Also, following the convention we use throughout the book, the decision variable
(number mailed) is colored red, and the bottom-line output (profit) is colored gray.
Creating Range Names
To create a range name for a range of cells (which could be a single cell), highlight the cell(s), click in the Name Box
just to the left of the Formula Bar, and type a range name. Alternatively, if a column (or row) of labels appears next
to the cells to be range-named, you can use these labels as the range names. To do this, highlight the labels and the
cells to be named (for example, A4:B5 in Figure 1.9), click Create from Selection on the Formulas ribbon, and make
sure the appropriate box in the resulting dialog box is checked. The labels in our example are to the left of the cells
to be named, so the Left column box should be checked. This is a quick way to create range names, and we did it for
all range names in the example. Note that if a label contains any “illegal” range-name characters, such as a space, the
illegal characters are converted to underscores.
Excel Tip
Adopt some layout and formatting
conventions, even if they
differ from ours, to make your
spreadsheets readable and easy
to follow.
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 15 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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Editorial review has deemed that any suppressed content does not materially affect the overall learning experience. Cengage Learning reserves the right to remove additional content at any time if subsequent rights restrictions require it.
Copyright 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-202
Figure 1.16 Precedents of
Total_revenue Cell 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
EDCBA
Quality Sweaters direct mail model
Catalog ledoMstupni of responses
Fixed cost of printing $20,000 Response %8etar
Variable cost of printing mailing $0.25 Number of 0008sesnopser
Decision ledoMelbairav of revenue, costs, and profit
Number latoT000001deliam 000,023$euneveR
Fixed cost of printing $20,000
Order inputs Total variable cost of printing mailing $25,000
Average latoT04$redro variable cost of orders $257,600
Variable cost per order $32.20 Total 006,203$tsoc
004,71$tiforP
1-3d Ordering with Quantity Discounts and Demand
Uncertainty
In the following example, we again attempt to find the appropriate level of some activity:
how much of a product to order when customer demand for the product is uncertain. Two
important features of this example are the presence of quantity discounts and the explicit
use of probabilities to model uncertain demand.
Formula Auditing Toolbar
The formula auditing toolbar allows you to see dependents of a selected cell (which cells have formulas that
reference this cell) or precedents of a given cell (which cells are referenced in this cell’s formula). You can
even see dependents or precedents that reside on a different worksheet. In this case, the auditing arrows appear
as dashed lines and point to a small spreadsheet icon. By double-clicking the dashed line, you can see a list of
dependents or precedents on other worksheets. These tools are especially useful for understanding how someone
else’s spreadsheet works.
Excel Tool
2 0 C h a p t e r 1 I n t r o d u c t i o n t o B u s i n e s s a n a l y t i c s
EXAMPLE
1.4 ORDERING WITH QUANTITY DISCOUNTS AT SAM’S
BOOKSTORE
Sam’s Bookstore, with many locations across the United States, places orders for all of the latest books and then distributes
them to its individual bookstores. Sam’s needs a model to help it order the appropriate number of any title. For example,
Sam’s plans to order a popular new hardback novel, which it will sell for $30. It can purchase any number of this book
from the publisher, but due to quantity discounts, the unit cost for all books it orders depends on the number ordered. If the
number ordered is less than 1000, the unit cost is $24. After each 1000, the unit cost drops: to $23 for at least 1000 copies;
to $22.25 for at least 2000; to $21.75 for at least 3000; and to $21.30 (the lowest possible unit cost) for at least 4000. For
example, if Sam’s orders 2500 books, its total cost is $22.25(2500) 5 $55,625. Sam’s is uncertain about the demand for
this book—it estimates that demand could be anywhere from 500 to 4500. Also, as with most hardback novels, this one will
eventually come out in paperback. Therefore, if Sam’s has any hardbacks left when the paperback comes out, it will put them
on sale for $10, at which price it believes all leftovers will be sold. How many copies of this hardback novel should Sam’s
order from the publisher?
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 20 04/03/19 10:51 PM
Copyright 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. Due to electronic rights, some third party content may be suppressed from the eBook and/or eChapter(s).
Editorial review has deemed that any suppressed content does not materially affect the overall learning experience. Cengage Learning reserves the right to remove additional content at any time if subsequent rights restrictions require it.
Copyright 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-202
1-3 Introduction to Spreadsheet Modeling 2 1
Objective
To learn how to build in complex logic with IF formulas, to get help about Excel functions, to learn how to use lookup
functions, to see how two-way data tables provide answers to more extensive what-if questions, and to learn about Excel’s
SUMPRODUCT function.
Solution
The profit model appears in Figure 1.17. (See the file Quantity Discounts Finished.xlsx.) The order quantity and demand
in the Order_quantity and Demand cells are trial values. (Comments in these cells are a reminder of this.) You can enter any
values in these cells to test the logic of the model. The Order_quantity cell is colored red because the company can choose its
value. In contrast, the Demand cell is colored green to indicate that this input value is uncertain and is being treated explicitly as
such. Also, a table is used to indicate the quantity discounts cost structure. You can use the following steps to build the model.
1
A B C D E F G H I J K
Ordering decision with quantity egnaRstnuocsid names used:
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
!$ledoM=tsoC B$18
ytitnauQstupnI discount structure 9$E$:5$D$!ledoM=pukooLtsoC
Unit cost - see table to tAthgir least Unit 21$B$!ledoM=dnameDtsoc
Regular 6$B$!ledoM=ecirp_revotfeL00.42$003$ecirp
Leftover 9$B$!ledoM=ytitnauq_redrO00.32$000101$ecirp
53$J$:53$B$!ledoM=seitilibaborP52.22$0002
Decision variable 91$B$!ledoM=tiforP57.12$0003
Order 5$B$!ledoM=ecirp_ralugeR03.12$00040052ytitnauq
71$B$!ledoM=euneveR
Uncertain quantity Units_sold_at_leftover_price =Model!$B$16
Units_sold_at_regular_price =Model!$B$150002dnameD
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
Profit model
Units sold at regular price 2000
Units sold at leftover price 500
000,56$euneveR
526,55$tsoC
573,9$tiforP
Figure 1.17 Sam’s Profit Model
1. Inputs and range names. Enter all inputs and name the ranges as indicated. The Create from Selection shortcut was used
to name all ranges except for CostLookup and Probabilities. For these latter two, you can select the ranges and enter the
names in the Name Box—the “manual” method.
2. Revenues. The company can sell only what it has, and it sells any leftovers at the discounted sale price. Therefore, enter
the following formulas in cells B15, B16, and B17:
5MIN(Order_quantity,Demand)
5IF(Order_quantity>Demand, Order_quantity-Demand,0)
5Units_sold_at_regular_price*Regular_price1Units_sold_at_leftover_price*Leftover_price
The logic in the first two of these cells is necessary to account correctly for the cases when the order quantity is greater
than demand and when it is less than or equal to demand. You could use the following equivalent alternative to the IF function
in cell B16:
5 MAX(Order_quantity-Demand,0)
fx Button and Function Library Group
To learn more about an Excel function, click the fx button next to the
Formula bar. This is called the Insert Function button, although some people call it the Function Wizard. If there
is already a function, such as an IF function, in a cell and you then click the fx button, you will get help on
this function. If you select an empty cell and then click the fx button, you can choose a function to get help on.
(The same help is available from the Function Library group on the Formulas ribbon.)
Excel Tool The fx button in Excel for Mac opens a Formula Builder pane to
the right, but the functionality is
essentially the same as in Excel
for Windows.
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 21 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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Editorial review has deemed that any suppressed content does not materially affect the overall learning experience. Cengage Learning reserves the right to remove additional content at any time if subsequent rights restrictions require it.
Copyright 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part. WCN 02-200-202
2 2 C h a p t e r 1 I n t r o d u c t i o n t o B u s i n e s s a n a l y t i c s
3. Total ordering cost. Depending on the order quantity, you can find the appropriate unit cost from the unit cost table and
multiply it by the order quantity to obtain the total ordering cost. This can be accomplished with a complex nested IF for-
mula, but a better way is to use the VLOOKUP function. Specifically, enter the formula
5VLOOKUP(Order_quantity,CostLookup,2)*Order_quantity
in cell B18. The VLOOKUP part of this formula says to compare the order quantity to the first (leftmost) column of the
table in the CostLookup range and return the corresponding value in the second column (because the third argument is 2).
VLOOKUP
The VLOOKUP function is one of Excel’s most useful functions. To use it, first create a vertical lookup table,
with values to use for comparison listed in the left column of the table and corresponding output values in as many
columns to the right as you like. (See the CostLookup range in Figure 1.17 for an example.) Then the VLOOKUP
function takes three or four arguments: (1) the value you want to compare to the values in the left column of the
table; (2) the lookup table range; (3) the index of the column you want the returned value to come from, where
the index of the left column is 1, the index of the next column is 2, and so on; and optionally (4) TRUE (for an
approximate match, the default) or FALSE (for an exact match). If you omit the last argument, the values in the
left column of the table must be entered in ascending order. (See online help for more details.) If the last argument
is TRUE or is omitted, Excel scans down the leftmost column of the table and finds the last entry less than or
equal to the first argument. (In this sense, it finds an approximate match.) There is also an HLOOKUP function
that works exactly the same way, except that the lookup table is arranged in rows, not columns.
Excel Function
4. Profit. Calculate the profit with the formula
5Revenue-Cost
Two-Way Data Table
The next step is to create a two-way data table for profit as a function of the order quantity and
demand (see Figure 1.18). To create this table, first enter a link to the profit with the formula
5Profit in cell A22, and enter possible order quantities and possible demands in column A and
row 22, respectively. (We used the same values for both order quantity and demand, from 500 to
4500 in increments of 500. This is not necessary—the demand could change in increments of 100
or even 1—but it is reasonable. Perhaps Sam’s is required by the publisher to order in multiples of
500.) Then select Data Table from the What-If Analysis dropdown list on the Data ribbon, and enter
the Demand cell as the Row Input cell and the Order_quantity cell as the Column Input cell.
A two-way data table
allows you to see how
a single output varies
as two inputs vary
simultaneously.
21
A B C D E F G H I J
Data table of profit as a function of order quantity (along side) and demand (along top)
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
$9,375 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
500 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000 $3,000
1000 -$3,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000 $7,000
1500 -$9,500 $500 $10,500 $10,500 $10,500 $10,500 $10,500 $10,500 $10,500
2000 -$14,500 -$4,500 $5,500 $15,500 $15,500 $15,500 $15,500 $15,500 $15,500
2500 -$20,625 -$10,625 -$625 $9,375 $19,375 $19,375 $19,375 $19,375 $19,375
3000 -$25,250 -$15,250 -$5,250 $4,750 $14,750 $24,750 $24,750 $24,750 $24,750
3500 -$31,125 -$21,125 -$11,125 -$1,125 $8,875 $18,875 $28,875 $28,875 $28,875
4000 -$35,200 -$25,200 -$15,200 -$5,200 $4,800 $14,800 $24,800 $34,800 $34,800
31 4500 -$40,850 -$30,850 -$20,850 -$10,850 -$850 $9,150 $19,150 $29,150 $39,150
Figure 1.18 Profit as a Function of Order Quantity and Demand
09953_ch01_ptg01_001-036.indd 22 04/03/19 10:51 PM
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1-3 Introduction to Spreadsheet Modeling 2 3
Two-Way Data Table
A two-way data table allows you to see how a single output cell varies as you vary two input cells. Unlike a one-
way data table, only a single output cell can be used. To create this type of table, enter a reference to the output
cell in the top-left corner of the table, enter possible values of the two inputs below and to the right of this corner
cell, and select the entire table. Then select Data Table from the What-If Analysis dropdown on the Data ribbon,
and enter references to the cells where the original two input variables live. The Row Input cell corresponds to
the values along the top row of the table, and the Column Input cell corresponds to the values along the left-most
column of the table. When you click OK, Excel substitutes each pair of input values into these two input cells,
recalculates the spreadsheet, and enters the corresponding output value in the table.
Excel Tool
SUMPRODUCT
The SUMPRODUCT function takes two range arguments, which must be exactly the same size and
shape, and it sums the products of the corresponding values in these two ranges. For example, the formula
5SUMPRODUCT(A10:B11,E12:F13) is a shortcut for a formula involving the sum of four products:
5A10*E12 1A11*E13 1B10*F12 1B11*F13. This is an extremely useful function, especially when the rang-
es involved are large, and it is used repeatedly throughout the book. (Actually, the …
PART-1 Please go through Examples 1.2 ( at page 12) and 1.4 (Sam’s Bookstore at page 20) from our textbook and
create Excel files as described in examples. Show all the work they implemented and get familiar with some nice
features of Excel. Each example will be 20 POINTS
Page : 38-41, 46-50 in attachment
PART-2 For each of below questions I provide the solution values. So for each question you need to:`z
a) Understand problem
b) Decide on decision variables
c) Form your objective function
d) Form your constraints
e) Bring parts b, c and d all together to create a linear programming model
f) Transfer this model into Excel
g) Use solver to find optimum solution
h) Interpret the results and tell me what would be your and interpretations recommendation based on
this solution.
Deliverable:
Create a single excel file and name it as Assignment week1_ yourname_lastname
For each question use a separate Excel worksheet not different files. Name worksheet-1 as Example-1,
worksheet-2 as Example-2, Worksheet-3 as Q1 and worksheet-4 as Q2
Show all of your model and interpretation in the same worksheet.
Please do not copy and paste from other students. Please remember that everybody’s design will be different
and there is no chance that two student’s models would be exactly same.
Please also make sure that you used SOLVER for optimum solution.
DUE DATE : Please submit your excel file before our first class on Sept 10, 2021 before our next class. Late
assignments will not be accepted.
Question 1 30 POINTS
A company produces two types of tables, T1 and T2. It takes 2 hours to produce the parts of one unit of T1, 1 hour
to assemble and 2 hours to polish. .It takes 4 hours to produce the parts of one unit of T2, 2.5 hour to assemble and
1.5 hours to polish. Per month, 7000 hours are available for producing the parts, 4000 hours for assembling the parts
and 5500 hours for polishing the tables. The profit per unit of T1 is $90 and per unit of T2 is $110. How many of
each type of tables should be produced in order to maximize the total monthly profit?
Answer 1
The maximum profit is $273000 . Hence the company needs to produce 2300 tables of type T1 and 600 tables of
type T2 in order to maximize its profit.
Question-2 30 POINTS
John has $20,000 to invest in three funds F1, F2 and F3. Fund F1 is offers a return of 2% and has a low risk. Fund
F2 offers a return of 4% and has a medium risk. Fund F3 offers a return of 5% but has a high risk. To be on the safe
side, John invests no more than $3000 in F3 and at least twice as much as in F1 than in F2. Assuming that the rates
hold till the end of the year, what amounts should he invest in each fund in order to maximize the year end return?
Answer_2
The return R is maximum at 603.33.
For maximum return, John has to invest $11333 in fund F1, $5667 in fund F2 and $3000 in fund F3.
Sheet1
Fixed Cost 750
Variable Cost 8
Selling Price 18
Price after certain time 6
Estimated Demand 1500
Order Quantity 1520
NET PROFIT 14210
COSTS 12910
Fixed Cost 750
Variable Cost 12160
REVENUES 27120
Full price tshirts 27000
Discounted price tshirts 120
PROFIT 14210
ORDERING NCAA T-SHIRTS
It is March, and the annual NCAA Basketball Tournament is down to the final four teams.
Randy Kitchell is a T-shirt vendor who plans to order T-shirts with the names of the final four teams from a manufacturer
and then sell them to the fans. The fixed cost of any order is $750, the variable cost per T-shirt to Randy is $8,
and Randy’s selling price is $18. However, this price will be charged only until a week after the tournament.
After that time, Randy figures that interest in the T-shirts will be low, so he plans to sell all remaining T-shirts, if any, at $6 each.
His best guess is that demand for the T-shirts during the full-price period will be 1500. He is thinking about ordering 1450 T-shirts,
but he wants to build a spreadsheet model that will let him experiment with the uncertain demand and his order quantity.
How should he proceed?
Objective To build a spreadsheet model in a series of stages, with all stages being correct but each stage
being more readable and flexible than the previous stages.
Sheet2
INPUT VARIABLES
Fixed cost 20000
printing cost per catalog 0.1
postage, getting ustomer inf, order form) 0.15
return mail 0.2
average revenue 40
cost of product and ops 32
Quantity planned 100000
RESPONSE RATE 2.00%
TOTAL PRINTING and SENDING COST 45000
Return mail cost 400
Revenue 80000
Cost of production 64000 Response Rate Profit
TOTAL REVENUE 80000 -29400
TOTAL COST 109400 1% -37200
PROFIT -29400 2.00% -29400
3% -21600
4.00% -13800
5% -6000
6.00% 1800
7% 9600.0000000001
8.00% 17400
9% 25200
10.00% 33000
11% 40800
12.00% 48600
13% 56400
14.00% 64200.0000000001
15% 72000
16.00% 79800
17% 87600
BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS AT QUALITY SWEATERS
The Quality Sweaters Company sells hand-knitted sweaters. The company is planning to print a catalog of its products and undertake a direct mail campaign. The cost of printing the catalog is $20,000 plus $0.10 per catalog. The cost of mailing each catalog (including postage, order forms, and buying names from a mail-order database) is $0.15. In addition, the company plans to include direct reply envelopes in its mailings and incurs $0.20 in extra costs for each direct mail envelope used by a respondent. The average size of a customer order is $40, and the company’s variable cost per order (primarily due to labor and material costs) averages about 80% of the order’s value—that is, $32. The company plans to mail 100,000 catalogs.
It wants to develop a spreadsheet model to answer the following questions:
1. How does a change in the response rate affect profit?
2. For what response rate does the company break even?
Objective To learn how to work with range names, to learn how to answer what-if questions with one-way data tables,
to introduce Excel’s Goal Seek tool, and to learn how to document and audit Excel models with cell comments and
Excel’s formula auditing tools.
0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14000000000000001 -37200 -29400 -21600 -13800 -6000 1800 9600.0000000000582 17400 25200 33000 40800 48600 56400 64200.000000000058
Sheet3
Dev. Cost 15
Gross margin for year 1 1.5
Peak year 8
Increase rate(1-8) 0.06
Decrease rate(9-20) 0.05
Discount rate 0.075
Year Gross margin
1 $1.50
2 $1.59
3 $1.69
4 $1.79
5 $1.89
6 $2.01 $3.06 $3.06 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% $3.06 $0.03 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00%
7 $2.13 1 -4.0127075944 1 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 1 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944
8 $2.26 2 -2.902061497 2 -3.003029324 -2.902061497 -2.8010936699 -2.7001258429 -2.5991580158 -2.4981901888 2 -3.2049649781 -3.103997151 -3.003029324 -2.902061497 -2.8010936699 -2.7001258429
9 $2.14 3 -1.8221265608 3 -2.0305321688 -1.8221265608 -1.6118685773 -1.3997582182 -1.1857954836 -0.9699803735 3 -2.4417862582 -2.2370854012 -2.0305321688 -1.8221265608 -1.6118685773 -1.3997582182
10 $2.04 4 -0.7742358529 4 -1.0957935806 -0.7742358529 -0.4470444035 -0.1141683624 0.2244431407 0.5688409758 4 -1.7222113515 -1.4117684567 -1.0957935806 -0.7742358529 -0.4470444035 -0.1141683624
11 $1.93 5 0.2400921865 5 -0.1995293852 0.2400921865 0.6911088106 1.1537251185 1.6281475999 2.1145846027 5 -1.0453966072 -0.627958678 -0.1995293852 0.2400921865 0.6911088106 1.1537251185
12 $1.84 6 1.2191327126 6 0.6573934564 1.2191327126 1.8000305047 2.4006000606 3.0213639113 3.6628539749 6 -0.4106163532 0.1143087265 0.6573934564 1.2191327126 1.8000305047 2.4006000606
13 $1.75 7 2.1609310029 7 1.4739427014 2.1609310029 2.8768329192 3.6226755001 4.3995136644 5.2084307072 7 0.1827350814 0.814868332 1.4739427014 2.1609310029 2.8768329192 3.6226755001
14 $1.66 8 3.0632762614 8 2.2489051488 3.0632762614 3.9182597826 4.8156488695 5.7573014176 6.7451418268 8 0.7351408423 1.4734162925 2.2489051488 3.0632762614 3.9182597826 4.8156488695
15 $1.58 9 3.923672382 9 2.9808692723 3.923672382 4.9206397794 5.9746246014 7.0886084399 8.2657060109 9 1.2469584959 2.0895012231 2.9808692723 3.923672382 4.9206397794 5.9746246014
16 $1.50 10 4.7393053226 10 3.6682059864 4.7393053226 5.8798341413 7.0940329616 8.3863707857 9.7615554749 10 1.7184164145 2.6625140894 3.6682059864 4.7393053226 5.8798341413 7.0940329616
17 $1.42
18 $1.35
19 $1.28 $3.06 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00%
20 $1.22 SUM 34.5433635555 1 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944 -4.0127075944
SUM of NPV $18.06 2 -3.003029324 -2.902061497 -2.8010936699 -2.7001258429 -2.5991580158 -2.4981901888
Dev cost $15.00 3 -2.0305321688 -1.8221265608 -1.6118685773 -1.3997582182 -1.1857954836 -0.9699803735
NET PROFIT/LOSS $3.06 4 -1.0957935806 -0.7742358529 -0.4470444035 -0.1141683624 0.2244431407 0.5688409758
DECISION SUGGESTION YOU MAY INVEST since NPV of cashflows is positive 5 -0.1995293852 0.2400921865 0.6911088106 1.1537251185 1.6281475999 2.1145846027
6 0.6573934564 1.2191327126 1.8000305047 2.4006000606 3.0213639113 3.6628539749
7 1.4739427014 2.1609310029 2.8768329192 3.6226755001 4.3995136644 5.2084307072
8 2.2489051488 3.0632762614 3.9182597826 4.8156488695 5.7573014176 6.7451418268
9 2.9808692723 3.923672382 4.9206397794 5.9746246014 7.0886084399 8.2657060109
10 3.6682059864 4.7393053226 5.8798341413 7.0940329616 8.3863707857 9.7615554749
CALCULATING NPV AT ACRON
Acron is a large drug company. At the current time, the beginning of year 0, Acron is trying to decide whether one of its new
drugs, Niagra, is worth pursuing. Niagra is in the final stages of development and will be ready to enter the market one year
from now. The final cost of development, to be incurred at the beginning of year 1, is $15 million. Acron estimates that the
demand for Niagra will gradually grow and then decline over its useful lifetime of 20 years. Specifically, the company expects
its gross margin (revenue minus cost) to be $1.5 million in year 1, then to increase at an annual rate of 6% through year 8,
and finally to decrease at an annual rate of 5% through year 20. Acron wants to develop a spreadsheet model of its 20-year
cash flows, assuming its cash flows, other than the initial development cost, are incurred at the ends of the respective years.
(To simplify the model, taxes are ignored.) Using an annual discount rate of 7.5% for the purpose of calculating NPV, the
drug company wants to answer the following questions:
1. Is the drug worth pursuing, or should Acron abandon it now and not incur the $15 million development cost?
2. How do changes in the model inputs change the answer to question 1?
Sheet4
WASHER DRYER CAPACITY
Production 2 hrs 3 hrs 120
Assembly 2 hrs 1 hr 80
Packaging 4 hrs 4 hrs 400
PROFITS 60
Washer Dryers CAPACTY
Prod 2 3 120
Asse 2 1 80
Packja 4 4 400
Profit 60 70
NUMBERS TO RPODUCE 30 20
PROFIT 3200
USED CAPACITY
Production 120 <= 120
Assembly 80 <= 80
Packaging 200 <= 400
We are producing washers and dryers. For the production each machine requires some processing hours in Production, Assembly, and Packaging departments. For each washer and dryer required hours are given as:
WASHER DRYER
Production 2 hrs 3 hrs
Assembly 2 hrs 1 hr
Packaging 4 hrs 4 hrs
Currently the company has weekly capacity of 120 hours of Production Hours , 80 Assembly hours and 400 Packaging hours. Each washer can be sold with 60 SAR profit and each Dryer can be sold with 70 SAR profit.
a) What is the problem we should be focusing here?
b) What would you do?
c) What is the max amount of profit this company can make based on current conditions?
d) Create LP model on paper
e) Create model in Excel
f) Use solver to solve it
g) Interpret the results and help decision makers with your comments
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Identify a specific consumer product that you or your family have used for quite some time. This might be a branded smartphone (if you have used several versions over the years)
or the court to consider in its deliberations. Locard’s exchange principle argues that during the commission of a crime
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aragraphs (meaning 25 sentences or more). Your assignment may be more than 5 paragraphs but not less.
INSTRUCTIONS:
To access the FNU Online Library for journals and articles you can go the FNU library link here:
https://www.fnu.edu/library/
In order to
n that draws upon the theoretical reading to explain and contextualize the design choices. Be sure to directly quote or paraphrase the reading
ce to the vaccine. Your campaign must educate and inform the audience on the benefits but also create for safe and open dialogue. A key metric of your campaign will be the direct increase in numbers.
Key outcomes: The approach that you take must be clear
Mechanical Engineering
Organic chemistry
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nment
Topic
You will need to pick one topic for your project (5 pts)
Literature search
You will need to perform a literature search for your topic
Geophysics
you been involved with a company doing a redesign of business processes
Communication on Customer Relations. Discuss how two-way communication on social media channels impacts businesses both positively and negatively. Provide any personal examples from your experience
od pressure and hypertension via a community-wide intervention that targets the problem across the lifespan (i.e. includes all ages).
Develop a community-wide intervention to reduce elevated blood pressure and hypertension in the State of Alabama that in
in body of the report
Conclusions
References (8 References Minimum)
*** Words count = 2000 words.
*** In-Text Citations and References using Harvard style.
*** In Task section I’ve chose (Economic issues in overseas contracting)"
Electromagnetism
w or quality improvement; it was just all part of good nursing care. The goal for quality improvement is to monitor patient outcomes using statistics for comparison to standards of care for different diseases
e a 1 to 2 slide Microsoft PowerPoint presentation on the different models of case management. Include speaker notes... .....Describe three different models of case management.
visual representations of information. They can include numbers
SSAY
ame workbook for all 3 milestones. You do not need to download a new copy for Milestones 2 or 3. When you submit Milestone 3
pages):
Provide a description of an existing intervention in Canada
making the appropriate buying decisions in an ethical and professional manner.
Topic: Purchasing and Technology
You read about blockchain ledger technology. Now do some additional research out on the Internet and share your URL with the rest of the class
be aware of which features their competitors are opting to include so the product development teams can design similar or enhanced features to attract more of the market. The more unique
low (The Top Health Industry Trends to Watch in 2015) to assist you with this discussion.
https://youtu.be/fRym_jyuBc0
Next year the $2.8 trillion U.S. healthcare industry will finally begin to look and feel more like the rest of the business wo
evidence-based primary care curriculum. Throughout your nurse practitioner program
Vignette
Understanding Gender Fluidity
Providing Inclusive Quality Care
Affirming Clinical Encounters
Conclusion
References
Nurse Practitioner Knowledge
Mechanics
and word limit is unit as a guide only.
The assessment may be re-attempted on two further occasions (maximum three attempts in total). All assessments must be resubmitted 3 days within receiving your unsatisfactory grade. You must clearly indicate “Re-su
Trigonometry
Article writing
Other
5. June 29
After the components sending to the manufacturing house
1. In 1972 the Furman v. Georgia case resulted in a decision that would put action into motion. Furman was originally sentenced to death because of a murder he committed in Georgia but the court debated whether or not this was a violation of his 8th amend
One of the first conflicts that would need to be investigated would be whether the human service professional followed the responsibility to client ethical standard. While developing a relationship with client it is important to clarify that if danger or
Ethical behavior is a critical topic in the workplace because the impact of it can make or break a business
No matter which type of health care organization
With a direct sale
During the pandemic
Computers are being used to monitor the spread of outbreaks in different areas of the world and with this record
3. Furman v. Georgia is a U.S Supreme Court case that resolves around the Eighth Amendments ban on cruel and unsual punishment in death penalty cases. The Furman v. Georgia case was based on Furman being convicted of murder in Georgia. Furman was caught i
One major ethical conflict that may arise in my investigation is the Responsibility to Client in both Standard 3 and Standard 4 of the Ethical Standards for Human Service Professionals (2015). Making sure we do not disclose information without consent ev
4. Identify two examples of real world problems that you have observed in your personal
Summary & Evaluation: Reference & 188. Academic Search Ultimate
Ethics
We can mention at least one example of how the violation of ethical standards can be prevented. Many organizations promote ethical self-regulation by creating moral codes to help direct their business activities
*DDB is used for the first three years
For example
The inbound logistics for William Instrument refer to purchase components from various electronic firms. During the purchase process William need to consider the quality and price of the components. In this case
4. A U.S. Supreme Court case known as Furman v. Georgia (1972) is a landmark case that involved Eighth Amendment’s ban of unusual and cruel punishment in death penalty cases (Furman v. Georgia (1972)
With covid coming into place
In my opinion
with
Not necessarily all home buyers are the same! When you choose to work with we buy ugly houses Baltimore & nationwide USA
The ability to view ourselves from an unbiased perspective allows us to critically assess our personal strengths and weaknesses. This is an important step in the process of finding the right resources for our personal learning style. Ego and pride can be
· By Day 1 of this week
While you must form your answers to the questions below from our assigned reading material
CliftonLarsonAllen LLP (2013)
5 The family dynamic is awkward at first since the most outgoing and straight forward person in the family in Linda
Urien
The most important benefit of my statistical analysis would be the accuracy with which I interpret the data. The greatest obstacle
From a similar but larger point of view
4 In order to get the entire family to come back for another session I would suggest coming in on a day the restaurant is not open
When seeking to identify a patient’s health condition
After viewing the you tube videos on prayer
Your paper must be at least two pages in length (not counting the title and reference pages)
The word assimilate is negative to me. I believe everyone should learn about a country that they are going to live in. It doesnt mean that they have to believe that everything in America is better than where they came from. It means that they care enough
Data collection
Single Subject Chris is a social worker in a geriatric case management program located in a midsize Northeastern town. She has an MSW and is part of a team of case managers that likes to continuously improve on its practice. The team is currently using an
I would start off with Linda on repeating her options for the child and going over what she is feeling with each option. I would want to find out what she is afraid of. I would avoid asking her any “why” questions because I want her to be in the here an
Summarize the advantages and disadvantages of using an Internet site as means of collecting data for psychological research (Comp 2.1) 25.0\% Summarization of the advantages and disadvantages of using an Internet site as means of collecting data for psych
Identify the type of research used in a chosen study
Compose a 1
Optics
effect relationship becomes more difficult—as the researcher cannot enact total control of another person even in an experimental environment. Social workers serve clients in highly complex real-world environments. Clients often implement recommended inte
I think knowing more about you will allow you to be able to choose the right resources
Be 4 pages in length
soft MB-920 dumps review and documentation and high-quality listing pdf MB-920 braindumps also recommended and approved by Microsoft experts. The practical test
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One thing you will need to do in college is learn how to find and use references. References support your ideas. College-level work must be supported by research. You are expected to do that for this paper. You will research
Elaborate on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study 20.0\% Elaboration on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study is missing. Elaboration on any potenti
3 The first thing I would do in the family’s first session is develop a genogram of the family to get an idea of all the individuals who play a major role in Linda’s life. After establishing where each member is in relation to the family
A Health in All Policies approach
Note: The requirements outlined below correspond to the grading criteria in the scoring guide. At a minimum
Chen
Read Connecting Communities and Complexity: A Case Study in Creating the Conditions for Transformational Change
Read Reflections on Cultural Humility
Read A Basic Guide to ABCD Community Organizing
Use the bolded black section and sub-section titles below to organize your paper. For each section
Losinski forwarded the article on a priority basis to Mary Scott
Losinksi wanted details on use of the ED at CGH. He asked the administrative resident