psychology - The Unthinkable: who survives when disaster strikes and why. - Humanities
In the book, The Unthinkable, journalist Amanda Ripley explores how we react in a disaster and why. She also discusses how we can better prepare ourselves for survival when faced with the unexpected.1. Reflect on this book and how it impacted you. What was surprising? What was confirming?2. Did anything you read influence you in the present or in terms of what you will do (or not do) in the future?3. What did you learn about how people react in a disaster event? Did anything surprise or fascinate you?4. If you could share one thing with a loved one or peer, what would it be?5. Feel free to share anything further that was impactful for you.This post does not have to be any particular length or style, but it does need to respond to all of the prompts.Reading on attachment:Ripley, Amanda (2008).The Unthinkable: who survives when disaster strikes and why. New York, NY: Crown Publishers.
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More Praise for Amanda Ripley’s The Unthinkable
“Reading The Unthinkable will be life-changing. We live in an age of anxiety
that has too many of us rocked back on our heels. Once you’ve feasted on the
rich insights and wisdom of this remarkable book, you’ll be standing tall again.
While our politicians and media have been keen to exploit and fan our worst
fears, Amanda Ripley makes clear that individually and collectively we can
meet head-on the hazards that periodically befall us. We need not be afraid!”
—STEPHEN FLYNN, Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council
on Foreign Relations, and author of The Edge of Disaster: Rebuilding a
Resilient Nation
“A fascinating, in-depth look at human behavior under extreme pressure.
Its gut-wrenching stories span the full spectrum of action under duress, from
panic to heroism. Not only is this book fast-paced and engrossing, it’s
illuminating.”
—MICHAEL TOUGIAS, author of Fatal Forecast: An Incredible True Tale
of Disaster and Survival at Sea
“Reveals why, under the same circumstances, some people caught up in a
disaster survive and others do not. Why some are hopelessly immobilized by
fear and crippled by panic, and others are filled with strength, endurance,
reactions, and the other intrinsic stuff of which Homeric heroes are made. How
can we ensure which we will be? In her well-crafted prose, Amanda Ripley
shows us all how to prepare to meet danger and increase our chances of
surviving the unthinkable.”
—BRUCE HENDERSON, New York Times bestselling author of Down to the
Sea and True North
“Rich in information about the subconscious ways we face danger. In the
event that someday you face a sudden life-or-death situation, reading this book
will increase the odds that the outcome will be life.”
—DAVID ROPEIK, coauthor of Risk!: A Practical Guide for Deciding
What’s Really Safe and What’s Really Dangerous in the World Around You
“When a disaster occurs, we invariably learn the ‘what’ of the event—how many
died, how many survived…Amanda Ripley’s riveting The Unthinkable
provides genuine insight into the ‘why’ behind the numbers. This
remarkable book will not only change your life, it could very well save it.”
—GREGG OLSEN, New York Times bestselling author of The Deep Dark:
Disaster and Redemption in America’s Richest Silver Mine
Copyright © 2008, © 2009 by Amanda Ripley
All rights reserved.
Published in the United States by Three Rivers Press, an imprint of the Crown
Publishing Group, a division of Random House, Inc., New York.
www.crownpublishing.com
THREE RIVERS PRESS
and the Tugboat design are registered trademarks of Random
House, Inc.
Originally published in slightly different form in hardcover in the United States
by Crown, New York, in 2008.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Ripley, Amanda.
The Unthinkable: who survives when disaster strikes and why / Amanda
Ripley.
Includes bibliographical references.
1. Resilience (Personality trait) 2. Disasters—Psychological aspects. 3.
Disaster relief. 4. Preparedness. 5. Risk management. 6. Emergency
management. 7. Crisis intervention (Mental health services) 8. Disaster victims
—Mental health. 9. Disasters—Risk assessment. I. Title.
BF698.35.R47R57 2008
l55.9′35—dc22
2007040315
ISBN 9780307352903
Ebook ISBN 9780307449276
rh_3.0_c0_r4
Contents
More Praise for The Unthinkable
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Introduction: “Life Becomes Like Molten Metal”
PART ONE: DENIAL
1 Delay: Procrastinating in Tower 1
2 Risk: Gambling in New Orleans
PART TWO: DELIBERATION
3 Fear: The Body and Mind of a Hostage
4 Resilience: Staying Cool in Jerusalem
5 Groupthink: Role Playing at the Beverly Hills Supper Club Fire
Photo Insert
PART THREE: THE DECISIVE MOMENT
6 Panic: A Stampede on Holy Ground
7 Paralysis: Playing Dead in French Class
8 Heroism: A Suicide Attempt on the Potomac River
Conclusion: Making New Instincts
Author’s Note
Appendix 1: How to Boost Your Survival Odds
Appendix 2: Notes
Appendix 3: Selected Bibliography
To John
Introduction
“Life Becomes Like Molten Metal”
ON THE MORNING of December 6, 1917, a bright, windless day, a French
freighter called the Mont Blanc began to slowly pull out of the Halifax harbor in
Nova Scotia. At the time, Halifax was one of the busiest ports in the British
Empire. There was a war on in Europe, and the harbor groaned with the churn of
ships, men, and weapons. The Mont Blanc was headed for France that day,
carrying over twenty-five hundred tons of explosives, including TNT. While
passing through a narrow channel in the harbor, a larger ship, the Imo from
Belgium, accidentally rammed the bow of the Mont Blanc.
The collision itself was not catastrophic. The Imo sailed on, in fact. But the
crew of the Mont Blanc knew that their ship was a floating time bomb. They
tried to put out the fire, but not for very long. Then they scrambled into lifeboats
and paddled for shore. For a few heartbreaking moments, the Mont Blanc drifted
in the harbor. It brushed up against the pier, setting it on fire. Children gathered
to watch the spectacle.
Many of the worst disasters in history started quite modestly. One accident led
to another, until a fault line opened up in a civilization. About twenty minutes
after the collision, the Mont Blanc exploded, sending black rain, iron, fire, and
wind whipsawing through the city. It was the largest bomb explosion on record.
The blast shattered windows sixty miles away. Glass blinded some one thousand
people. Next, a tidal wave caused by the explosion swamped the shore. Then fire
began to creep across the city. In the harbor, a black column of fire and smoke
turned into a hovering white mushroom cloud. Survivors fell to their knees,
convinced that they had seen a German zeppelin in the sky.
At the moment of the explosion, an Anglican priest and scholar named
Samuel Henry Prince happened to be eating breakfast at a restaurant near the
port. He ran to help, opening up his church as a triage station. It was, strangely
enough, Prince’s second disaster in five years. He had responded to another local
cataclysm in 1912, when a luxury cruise liner called the Titanic had sunk some
five hundred miles off the coast of Halifax. Back then, Prince had performed
burials at sea in the frigid waters.
Prince was the kind of man who marveled at things others preferred not to
think about. On the awful day of the explosion, he was astounded by what he
saw. Prince watched men and women endure crude sidewalk operations without
obvious pain. How was one young soldier able to work the entire day with one
of his eyes knocked out? Some people experienced hallucinations. Why did
parents fail to recognize their own children at the hospital—and, especially, at
the morgue? Small details nagged at Prince. On the morning of the explosion,
why was the very first relief station set up by a troupe of actors, of all people?
That night, a blizzard hit Halifax, the epic’s final act. By the time the
catastrophe had rippled out across the land, 1,963 people would be dead. In
silent film footage taken after the blast, Halifax looks like it was hit by a nuclear
weapon. Houses, train terminals, and churches lie like pick-up sticks on the
snow-covered ground. Sleighs are piled high with corpses. “Here were to be
found in one dread assembling the combined horrors of war, earthquake, fire,
flood, famine and storm—a combination for the first time in the records of
human disaster,” Prince would write. Later, scientists developing the atomic
bomb would study the Halifax explosion to see how such a blast travels across
land and sea.
After helping rebuild Halifax, Prince moved to New York City to study
sociology. For his PhD dissertation at Columbia University, he deconstructed the
Halifax explosion. “Catastrophe and Social Change,” published in 1920, was the
first systematic analysis of human behavior in a disaster. “Life becomes like
molten metal,” he wrote. “Old customs crumble, and instability rules.”
What makes Prince’s work so engaging is his optimism. Despite his funereal
obsessions, he saw disasters as opportunities—not just, as he put it, “a series of
vicissitudes mercifully ending one day in final cataclysm.” He was a minister,
but he was clearly enchanted by industry. The horrific explosion had, in the end,
“blown Halifax into the 20th century,” forcing many changes that were for the
better. His thesis opened with a quote from St. Augustine: “This awful
catastrophe is not the end but the beginning. History does not end so. It is the
way its chapters open.”
After Prince’s death, the field of human behavior in disasters would languish.
Then with the onset of the cold war and a new host of anxieties about how the
masses might respond to nuclear attacks, it would come back to life. After the
fall of communism, it would stagnate again—until the terrorist attacks of
September 11, 2001. Prince seemed to anticipate the temptation for people to
avert their eyes. “This little volume on Halifax is offered as a beginning,” he
wrote. Don’t let it be the end, he pleaded. “Knowledge will grow scientific only
after the most faithful examination of many catastrophes.” The remainder of the
century would prove rich with material.
Most of us have imagined what it might be like to experience a plane crash or a
fire or an earthquake. We have ideas about what we might do or fail to do, how
it might feel for our hearts to pound in our chests, whom we might call in the
final moments, and whether we might be suddenly compelled to seize the hand
of the businessman sitting in the window seat. We have fears that we admit to
openly and ones that we never discuss. We carry around this half-completed
sentence, filling in different scenarios depending on the anxiety of the times: I
wonder what I would do if…
Think for a moment about the narratives we know by heart. When I say the
word disaster, many of us think of panic, hysterical crowds, and a kind of everyman-for-himself brutality; an orgy of destruction interrupted only by the
civilizing influence of professional rescuers. Yet all evidence from Prince until
today belies this script. Reality is a lot more interesting—and hopeful.
What Prince discovered in Halifax was that our disaster personalities can be
quite different from the ones we expect to meet. But that doesn’t mean they are
unknowable. It just means we haven’t been looking in the right places.
The Things Survivors Wish You Knew
This book came about unexpectedly. In 2004, as a reporter working on Time
magazine’s coverage of the third anniversary of 9/11, I decided to check in with
some of the people who had survived the attacks. I wondered how they were
doing. Unlike many of the families of the victims, the survivors had kept to
themselves, for the most part. They felt so lucky—or guilty or scarred—that they
hadn’t wanted to make too much noise. But there were tens of thousands of these
survivors out there, people who had gone to work in a skyscraper one morning
and then spent hours fighting to get out of it. I was curious to hear what had
happened to their lives.
I got in touch with the World Trade Center Survivors’ Network, one of the
first and largest support groups, and they invited me to sit in on one of their
regular meetings. They met in a fluorescent-lit office space, high above the
racket of Times Square. As I rode up in the elevator one evening, I prepared
myself for an exchange of grief. After 9/11, I had heard so many stories. Every
widow, firefighter, and victim had a unique tragedy to tell, and I can still recite
those interviews almost word for word. The city’s pain seemed to have no
bottom.
But this meeting was not what I had expected. These people had an agenda.
They had things they wanted to tell other people before the next terrorist attack,
and there was urgency in the room. The survivors were from all different
neighborhoods, professions, and ethnicities, but they said very similar, surprising
things. They had learned so much that morning, and they wondered why no one
had prepared them. One man even proposed starting a lecture circuit to educate
people about how it feels to escape a skyscraper. “We were the first responders,”
one woman said. A sign-up sheet was passed around to start planning speaking
engagements at churches and offices.
Watching them, I realized these people had glimpsed a part of the human
condition that most of us never see. We worry about horrible things happening to
us, but we don’t know much about what it actually feels like. I wondered what
they had learned.
I started to research the stories of survivors from other disasters. The overlaps
were startling. People in shipwrecks, plane crashes, and floodwaters all seemed
to undergo a mysterious metamorphosis. They performed better than they ever
would have expected in some ways and much worse in others. I wanted to know
why. What was happening to our brains to make us do so many unexpected
things? Were we culturally conditioned to risk our lives for strangers in
shipwrecks? Were we evolutionarily programmed to freeze in emergencies? My
search for answers led me across the world, to England for its long history of
studying fire behavior, to Israel for its trauma psychologists and
counterterrorism experience, and back to the States to participate in simulated
plane crashes and fires, as well as military research into the brain.
Writing a book about disasters may sound voyeuristic or dark, and there are
times when it was. But the truth is, I was mesmerized by this subject because it
gave me hope. You spend enough time covering tragedies and you start to look
for a foothold. I knew there was no way to prevent all catastrophes from
happening. I knew it made sense to prepare for them and work to minimize the
losses. We should install smoke detectors, buy insurance, and pack “go bags.”
But none of those things ever felt very satisfying.
Listening to survivors, I realized we’d been holding dress rehearsals for a play
without knowing any of our lines. Our government had warned us to be
prepared, but it hadn’t told us why. In New Orleans, after Hurricane Katrina, I
learned more from regular people on street corners than I learned covering any
homeland security conference. In firehouses and brain research labs, I learned
that if we get to know our disaster personalities before the disaster, we might
have a slightly better chance of surviving. At the very least, we’ll expunge some
of the unknowns from our imaginations, and we’ll uncover secrets about
ourselves.
I never expected to use what I had learned anytime soon. I usually show up at
disaster sites after they happen, in time for the regrets and recriminations, but not
the shaking or the burning. But I was wrong, in a way. From a physiological
perspective, everyday life is full of tiny disaster drills. Ironically, after writing a
book about disasters, I feel less anxious overall, not more. I am a much better
judge of risk now that I understand my own warped equation for dread. Having
studied dozens of plane crashes, I’m more relaxed when I’m flying. And no
matter how many Code-Orange-be-afraid-be-very-afraid alerts I see on the
evening news, I feel some amount of peace having already glimpsed the worstcase scenario. The truth, it turns out, is usually better than the nightmare.
The Problem with Rescue Dogs
Conversations about disasters have always been colored by fear and superstition.
The word disaster, from the Latin dis (away) and astrum (stars), can be
translated as “ill-starred.” After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, New Orleans mayor
Ray Nagin said that God was clearly “mad at America” for invading Iraq—and
at black people for “not taking care of ourselves.” Inchoate as these plot lines
may be, Nagin’s impulse—to inject meaning into chaos—was understandable.
Narrative is the beginning of recovery.
But narrative can miss important subplots. In books and official reports, the
tragedy of Katrina was blamed on politicians, poverty, and poor engineering, as
it should have been. But there was another conversation that should have
happened—not about blame, but about understanding. What did regular people
do before, during, and after the storm? Why? And what could they have done
better?
These days, we tend to think of disasters as acts of God and government.
Regular people only feature into the equation as victims, which is a shame.
Because regular people are the most important people at a disaster scene, every
time.
In 1992, a series of sewer explosions caused by a gas leak ripped through
Guadalajara, Mexico’s second-largest city. The violence came from below,
rupturing neighborhoods block by block. Starting at 10:30 A.M., at least nine
separate explosions ripped open a jagged trench more than a mile long. About
three hundred people died. Some five thousand houses were razed. The Mexican
Army was called in. Rescuers from California raced to help. Search-and-rescue
dogs were ordered up.
But first, before anyone else, regular people were on the scene saving one
another. They did incredible things, these regular people. They lifted rubble off
survivors with car jacks. They used garden hoses to force air into voids where
people were trapped. In fact, as in most disasters, the vast majority of rescues
were done by ordinary folks. After the first two hours, very few people came out
of the debris alive. The search-and-rescue dogs did not arrive until twenty-six
hours after the explosion.
It’s only once disaster strikes that ordinary citizens realize how important they
are. For example, did you know that most serious plane accidents are survivable?
On this point, the statistics are quite clear. Of all passengers involved in serious
accidents between 1983 and 2000, 56 percent survived. (“Serious” is defined by
the National Transportation Safety Board as accidents involving fire, severe
injury, and substantial aircraft damage.) Moreover, survival often depends on the
behavior of the passenger. These facts have been well known in the aviation
industry for a long time. But unless people have been in a plane crash, most
individuals have no idea.
Since 9/11 the U.S. government has sent over $23 billion to states and cities in
the name of homeland security. Almost none of that money has gone toward
intelligently enrolling regular people like you and me in the cause. Why don’t
we tell people what to do when the nation is on Orange Alert against a terrorist
attack—instead of just telling them to be afraid? Why does every firefighter in
Casper, Wyoming (pop. 50,632), have an eighteen-hundred-dollar HAZMAT
suit—but we don’t each have a statistically derived ranking of the hazards we
actually face, and a smart, creative plan for dealing with them?
All across the nation we have snapped plates of armor onto our professional
lifesavers. In return, we have very high expectations for these brave men and
women. Only after everything goes wrong do we realize we’re on our own. And
the bigger the disaster, the longer we will be on our own. No fire department can
be everywhere at once, no matter how good their gear.
The July 7, 2005, terrorist attacks on London buses and subway trains killed
fifty-two people. The city’s extensive surveillance camera system was widely
praised for its help during the ensuing investigation. Less well known is how
unhelpful the technology was to regular people on the trains. The official report
on the response would find one “overarching, fundamental lesson”: emergency
plans had been designed to meet the needs of emergency officials, not regular
people. On that day, the passengers had no way to let the train drivers know that
there had been an explosion. They also had trouble getting out; the train doors
were not designed to be opened by pa ...
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