MAN 4602 FNU COVID 19 Pandemic and Global Economy Article Reflection - Business Finance
OverviewKeep in mind that your discussion forum postings will likely be seen by other members of the course. Care should be taken when determining what to post.The objective of this assignment is to introduce students to issues covered in the business press that are related to the topics discussed in this course. For this assignment students will find and review an article (related to the chapter topic of the week) appearing in business periodicals in the past 6 months. Each student will respond to at least two articles from those posted but not their own (this is the discussion part of your grade). Since there are multiple chapters covered each week it can be an article on any of the chapters’ material. This is a weekly assignment. The original article should be posted to Canvas no later than Wednesday (11:59 pm) of each week so comments can be made before the end of the week (Sunday 11:59 pm) and no duplicates are allowed (first come first served so to speak).Suggested Business Press TitlesBusinessWeekFinancial TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Wall Street Journal AsiaForbesFortuneCEO MagazineThe EconomistEntrepreneur MagazineInc. MagazineThe Power Point attached are the three chapters covered in this week. You can choose the article related to any of the chapters.
ipptchap09_ei_accessible.pptx
ipptchap10_ei_accessible__1_.pptx
ipptchap11_ei_accessible__1_.pptx
Unformatted Attachment Preview
Chapter 9
Regional Economic
Integration
©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is Regional
Economic Integration?
• Regional economic integration - agreements
between countries in a geographic region to reduce
tariff and non-tariff barriers to the free flow of
goods, services, and factors of production between
each other
• Question: Do regional trade agreements promote
free trade?
– In theory, yes, but the world may be moving toward a
situation in which a number of regional trade blocks
compete against each other
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Are The Levels Of
Regional Economic Integration? (1 of 4)
1. A free trade area eliminates all barriers to the trade
of goods and services among member countries
– European Free Trade Association (EFTA) - Norway,
Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Switzerland
– North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - U.S.,
Canada, and Mexico
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Are The Levels Of
Regional Economic Integration? (2 of 4)
2. A customs union eliminates trade barriers between
member countries and adopts a common external
trade policy
– Andean Community (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and
Peru)
3. A common market has no barriers to trade between
member countries, a common external trade policy,
and the free movement of the factors of production
– Mercosur (Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay)
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Are The Levels Of
Regional Economic Integration? (3 of 4)
4. An economic union has the free flow of products
and factors of production between members, a
common external trade policy, a common currency,
a harmonized tax rate, and a common monetary
and fiscal policy
– European Union (EU)
5. A political union involves a central political
apparatus that coordinates the economic, social,
and foreign policy of member states
– the EU is headed toward at least partial political union,
and the U.S. is an example of even closer political union
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Are The Levels Of
Regional Economic Integration? (4 of 4)
Levels of Economic Integration
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Why Should Countries
Integrate Their Economies?
• All countries gain from free trade and investment
– regional economic integration is an attempt to exploit the
gains from free trade and investment
• Linking countries together, making them more
dependent on each other
– creates incentives for political cooperation and reduces the
likelihood of violent conflict
– gives countries greater political clout when dealing with
other nations
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Limits Efforts At Integration?
• Economic integration can be difficult because
– while a nation as a whole may benefit from a regional free
trade agreement, certain groups may lose
– it implies a loss of national sovereignty
• Regional economic integration is only beneficial if the
amount of trade it creates exceeds the amount it
diverts
– trade creation occurs when low cost producers within the
free trade area replace high cost domestic producers
– trade diversion occurs when higher cost suppliers within
the free trade area replace lower cost external suppliers
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of Regional Economic
Integration In Europe?
• Europe has two trade blocs
1. The European Union (EU) with 27 members
2. The European Free Trade Area (EFTA) with 4 members
• The EU is seen as the world’s next economic and
political superpower
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of Regional Economic
Integration In Europe?
Member States of The European Union in 2013
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The European Union? (1 of 2)
• The devastation of two world wars on Western
Europe prompted the formation of the EU
– Members wanted lasting peace and to hold their own on
the world’s political and economic stage
• Forerunner was the European Coal and Steel
Community (1951)
• The European Economic Community (1957) was
formed at the Treaty of Rome with the goal of
becoming a common market
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The European Union? (2 of 2)
The Single European Act (1987)
– committed the EC countries to work toward establishment
of a single market by December 31, 1992
– was born out of frustration among EC members that the
community was not living up to its promise
– provided the impetus for the restructuring of substantial
sections of European industry allowing for faster economic
growth than would otherwise have been the case
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Political Structure
Of The European Union?
The main institutions in the EU include:
1. The European Council - the ultimate controlling authority
within the EU
2. The European Commission - responsible for proposing EU
legislation, implementing it, and monitoring compliance
with EU laws by member states
3. The European Parliament - debates legislation proposed
by the commission and forwarded to it by the council
4. The Court of Justice - the supreme appeals court for EU
law
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Euro?
• The Maastricht Treaty committed the EU to adopt a
single currency
– created the second largest currency zone in the world after
that of the U.S. dollar
– used by 17 of the 27 member states
– Britain, Denmark, and Sweden opted out
• since its establishment January 1, 1999, the euro has
had a volatile trading history with the U.S. dollar
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Is The Euro A Good Thing?
• Benefits of the euro
– savings from having to handle one currency, rather than
many
– it is easier to compare prices across Europe, so firms are
forced to be more competitive
– gives a strong boost to the development of highly liquid
pan-European capital market
– increases the range of investment options open both to
individuals and institutions
• Costs of the euro
– loss of control over national monetary policy
– EU is not an optimal currency area
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Should The EU Continue To Expand?
• Many countries have applied for EU membership
• Ten countries joined in 2004 expanding the EU to 25
states
• In 2007, Bulgaria and Romania joined bringing
membership to 27 countries
• Turkey has been denied full membership because of
concerns over human rights
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of Economic Integration
In The Americas? (1 of 2)
• There is a move toward greater regional economic
integration in the Americas
• The biggest effort is the North American Free Trade
Area (NAFTA)
• Other efforts include the Andean Community and
Mercosur
• A hemisphere-wide Free Trade of the Americas is
under discussion
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of Economic Integration
In The Americas? (2 of 2)
Economic Integration in the Americas
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The North American Free Trade
Agreement?
• The North American Free Trade Area includes the
United States, Canada, and Mexico
– abolished tariffs on 99\% of the goods traded between
members
– removed barriers on the cross-border flow of services
– protects intellectual property rights
– removes most restrictions on FDI between members
– allows each country to apply its own environmental
standards
– establishes two commissions to impose fines and remove
trade privileges when environmental standards or
legislation involving health and safety, minimum wages, or
child labor are ignored
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Is The North American
Free Trade Area Beneficial? (1 of 2)
• Supporters of NAFTA claimed that
• Mexico would benefit
– from increased jobs as low cost production moves south
and will see more rapid economic growth as a result
• the U.S. and Canada would benefit from
– access to a large and increasingly prosperous market
– the lower prices for consumers from goods produced in
Mexico
– low cost labor and the ability to be more competitive on
world markets
– increased imports by Mexico
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Is The North American
Free Trade Area Beneficial? (2 of 2)
• Critics of NAFTA claimed that
– jobs would be lost and wage levels would decline in the
U.S. and Canada
– pollution would increase due to Mexicos more lax
standards
– Mexico would lose its sovereignty
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Who Was Right?
• Research indicates that NAFTA’s early impact was
subtle, and both advocates and detractors may have
been guilty of exaggeration
• NAFTA is credited with helping create increased
political stability in Mexico
• Other Latin American countries would like to join
NAFTA
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Think Like A Manager
The establishment of the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994 was an important, if
controversial, moment in the economic histories of
Canada, the United States, and Mexico.
As the head of a major industrial machinery
manufacturer in the United States, would you have
welcomed economic integration with Canada and
Mexico? What advantages or disadvantages would you
expect to experience? How might your business
operations be different today if NAFTA had not been
passed?
Copyright © 2017 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. 9-24
What Is The Andean Community?
• The Andean Pact
– formed in 1969 using the EU model
– had more or less failed by the mid-1980s
– was re-launched in 1990, and now operates as a customs
union
– renamed the Andean Community in 1997
– signed an agreement in 2003 with Mercosur to restart
negotiations towards the creation of a free trade area
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is Mercosur?
• Mercosur
– originated in 1988 as a free trade pact between Brazil and
Argentina
– was expanded in 1990 to include Paraguay and Uruguay
and in 2005 with the addition of Venezuela
– may be diverting trade rather than creating trade, and
local firms are investing in industries that are not
competitive on a worldwide basis
– initially made progress on reducing trade barriers between
member states, but more recently efforts have stalled
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Central American Trade
Agreement And CARICOM?
• There are two other trade pacts in the Americas
– the Central American Trade Agreement – (CAFTA, 2005) to lower trade barriers between the U.S. and members
– CARICOM (1973) - to establish a customs union
• Neither pact has achieved its goals yet
• In 2006, six CARICOM members formed the
Caribbean Single Market and Economy (CSME) - to
lower trade barriers and harmonize macro-economic
and monetary policy between members
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is Free Trade Of The Americas?
• Talks began in April 1998 to establish a Free Trade of
The Americas (FTAA) by 2005
• The FTAA was not established and now support from
the U.S. and Brazil is mixed
– the U.S. wants stricter enforcement if intellectual property
rights
– Brazil and Argentina want the U.S. to eliminate agricultural
subsidies and tariffs
• If the FTAA is established, it will have major
implications for cross-border trade and investment
flows within the hemisphere
– would create a free trade area of 850 million people who
accounted for nearly $18 trillion in GDP in 2008
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of Economic Integration
In Asia?
• Various efforts at integration have been attempted in
Asia, but most exist in name only
– Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
– Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Association Of Southeast Asian
Nations? (1 of 2)
• The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN,
1967)
– currently includes Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the
Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, Laos,
and Cambodia
– wants to foster freer trade between member countries and
to achieve some cooperation in their industrial policies
• An ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) between the six
original members of ASEAN came into effect in 2003
– ASEAN and AFTA are moving towards establishing a free
trade zone
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Association Of Southeast Asian
Nations? (2 of 2)
ASEAN Countries
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation? (1 of 2)
• The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
– has 21 members including the United States, Japan, and
China
– wants to increase multilateral cooperation
– member states account for 55\% of world’s GNP, and 49\% of
world trade
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation? (2 of 2)
APEC Members
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Status Of
Economic Integration In Africa?
• Many countries are members of more than one of
the nine blocs in the region
– but, since many countries support the use of trade barriers
to protect their economies from foreign competition,
meaningful progress is slow
• The East African Community (EAC) was re-launched
in 2001, however, the effort so far appears futile
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Does Economic
Integration Mean For Managers?
• Regional economic integration
– opens new markets
– allows firms to realize cost economies by centralizing
production in those locations where the mix of factor costs
and skills is optimal
• But
– within each grouping, the business environment becomes
competitive
– there is a risk of being shut out of the single market by the
creation of a “trade fortress”
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Chapter 10
The Foreign Exchange
Market
©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
Why Is The Foreign
Exchange Market Important?
The foreign exchange market
1. is used to convert the currency of one country into the
currency of another
2. provides some insurance against foreign exchange risk the adverse consequences of unpredictable changes in
exchange rates
• The exchange rate is the rate at which one currency is converted
into another
• events in the foreign exchange market affect firm sales, profits,
and strategy
©McGraw-Hill Education.
When Do Firms Use The
Foreign Exchange Market?
• International companies use the foreign exchange
market when
– the payments they receive for exports, the income they
receive from foreign investments, or the income they
receive from licensing agreements with foreign firms are in
foreign currencies
– they must pay a foreign company for its products or
services in its country’s currency
– they have spare cash that they wish to invest for short
terms in money markets
– they are involved in currency speculation - the short-term
movement of funds from one currency to another in the
hopes of profiting from shifts in exchange rates
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Can Firms Hedge Against
Foreign Exchange Risk? (1 of 2)
The foreign exchange market provides insurance to
protect against foreign exchange risk
–
the possibility that unpredicted changes in future
exchange rates will have adverse consequences for the
firm
– A firm that insures itself against foreign exchange risk is
hedging
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Can Firms Hedge Against
Foreign Exchange Risk? (2 of 2)
• The spot exchange rate is the rate at which a foreign
exchange dealer converts one currency into another
currency on a particular day
– spot rates change continually depending on the supply and
demand for that currency and other currencies
• Spot exchange rates can be quoted as the amount of
foreign currency one U.S. dollar can buy, or as the
value of a dollar for one unit of foreign currency
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Difference Between
Spot Rates And Forward Rates?
• To insure or hedge against a possible adverse foreign
exchange rate movement, firms engage in forward
exchanges
– two parties agree to exchange currency and execute the
deal at some specific date in the future
• A forward exchange rate is the rate used for these
transactions
– rates for currency exchange are typically quoted for 30, 90,
or 180 days into the future
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is A Currency Swap?
• A currency swap is the simultaneous purchase and
sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two
different value dates
• Swaps are transacted
– between international businesses and their banks
– between banks
– between governments when it is desirable to move out of
one currency into another for a limited period without
incurring foreign exchange rate risk
©McGraw-Hill Education.
What Is The Nature Of The
Foreign Exchange Market?
• The foreign exchange market is a global network of
banks, brokers, and foreign exchange dealers
connected by electronic communications systems
– the average total value of global foreign exchange trading
in March, 1986 was just $200 billion, in April, 2010 it hit $4
trillion per day
– the most important trading centers are London, New York,
Zurich, Tokyo, and Singapore
– the market is always open somewhere in the world—it
never sleeps
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Do Exchange Rates Differ Between
Markets? (1 of 2)
• High-speed computer linkages between trading
centers mean there is no significant difference
between exchange rates in the differing trading
centers
• If exchange rates quoted in different markets were
not essentially the same, there would be an
opportunity for arbitrage
– the process of buying a currency low and selling it high
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Do Exchange Rates Differ Between
Markets? (2 of 2)
Most transactions involve dollars on one side—it is a
vehicle currency
– 85\% of all foreign exchange transactions involve the U.S.
dollar
– other vehicle currencies are the euro, the Japanese yen,
and the British pound
– China’s renminbi is still only used for about 0.3\% of foreign
exchange transactions
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Are Exchange Rates Determined?
• Exchange rates are determined by the demand and
supply for different currencies
• Three factors impact future exchange rate
movements
1. A country’s price inflation
2. A country’s interest rate
3. Market psychology
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Do Prices Influence
Exchange Rates? (1 of 5)
The law of one price states that in competitive markets
free of transportation costs and barriers to trade,
identical products sold in different countries must sell
for the same price when their price is expressed in
terms of the same currency
– otherwise there is an opportunity for arbitrage until prices
equalize between the two markets
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Do Prices Influence
Exchange Rates? (2 of 5)
Purchasing power parity theory (PPP) argues that given
relatively efficient markets (a market with no
impediments to the free flow of goods and services)
the price of a “basket of goods” should be roughly
equivalent in each country
– predicts that changes in relative prices will result in a
change in exchange rates
©McGraw-Hill Education.
How Do Prices Influence
Exchange Rates? (3 of 5)
• A positive relationship exists between the inflation
rate and the level of money supply
– when the growth in the money supply is greater than the
growth in output, inflation will occur
• PPP theory suggests that changes in relative prices
between countries will lead to exchange rate
changes, at least in the short run
– a country with high inflation should see its currency
depreciate relative to others
©McGraw-Hill Education.
Source: From Juan-Antonio Morales, “Inflation Stabilization in Bolivia” in Inflation Stabilization: The
Experience of Israel, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, and Mexico, ed. Michael Bruno et al. (Cambridge, MA: MIT
Press, 198 ...
Purchase answer to see full
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