Managerial Economics 8 - Business Finance
The discussion requires a minimum of 300 words, 3 scholarly sources, including the textbook. Make sure that you use APA style with your references. Under no circumstances use any direct quotes. Any directly quoted or copied material will result in a zero for the assignment. Let’s be sure to write it in own work 100\% and give appropriately when using someone’s else work. Reference for textbook attached: Thomas, C. R., & Maurice, S. C. (2010). Managerial economics: Foundations of business analysis and strategy (10th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyers book Breaking the Vicious Circle: Toward Effective Risk Regulation examines governments role in controlling and managing the health risks society faces from exposure to environmental pollution. One major problem examined in the book is the cleanup of hazardous waste sites. Justice Breyer was extremely critical of policymakers who wish to see waste sites 100 percent clean. Explain, using the theory of optimization and a graph, the circumstances under which a waste site could be made too clean. You may either describe your graph in detail or post a photo of your graph for the class to see. Good answers are dispassionate and employ economic analysis. 1,500 word count and there is a total of 8 questions each (not including in-text citation and references as the word count), a minimum of 4 scholarly sources are required in APA format. For the 4 scholarly sources, one from the textbook that’s posted below and the other two from an outside source . Let’s be sure to write it in own work 100\% and give appropriately when using someone’s else work. Under no circumstances use any direct quotes. Any directly quoted or copied material will result in a zero for the assignment. Reference for textbook attached: Thomas, C. R., & Maurice, S. C. (2010). Managerial economics: Foundations of business analysis and strategy (10th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. I think you will find Unit 8 to be one of the more straightforward units we have had in the course. Everything that you have learned in the previous units has led up to being able to quickly and easily do a marginal analysis. Had we covered this unit earlier, you would have found it much more difficult. On the Complete, please be sure to explain in detail how you arrived at each answer. Just filling in the blanks is not sufficient, and you will still need to do some research to meet your word count requirement. Feel free to research examples of marginal analyses in any area of study that you find interesting. Use the graph below to answer the following questions: a) At 200 units of the activity, marginal benefit is $__________ and marginal cost is $__________. b) Adding the 200th unit of the activity causes net benefit to __________ (increase, decrease) by $__________. c) At 700 units of the activity, marginal benefit is $__________ and marginal cost is $__________. d) Subtracting the 700th unit of the activity causes net benefit to __________ (increase, decrease) by $__________. e) The optimal level of the activity is __________units. At the optimal level of the activity, marginal benefit is $__________ and marginal cost is $__________. Give an example from your own business-related experience of a situation in which a marginal analysis could be conducted. Explain how you would find and recommend the optimal level of activity for the situation.
mba506_unit8.pdf
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Chapter
3
Marginal Analysis for
Optimal Decisions
R
I
C
A
R
After reading this chapter, you willD
be able to:
3.1 Define several key concepts and terminology.
,
3.2 Use marginal analysis to find optimal activity levels in unconstrained
maximization problems and explain why sunk costs, fixed costs, and average
costs are irrelevant for decision
A making.
3.3 Employ marginal analysis to D
find the optimal levels of two or more activities in
constrained maximization and minimization problems.
R
I
E
aking optimal decisions about the levels of various business activities
is an essential skill forNall managers, one that requires managers to
analyze benefits and costs to make the best possible decision under
N
a given set of circumstances. When Ford Motor Company began producing a
E
redesigned and reengineered Explorer,
Ford’s CEO decided that the first 5,000
M
units rolling off assembly lines would not be delivered immediately to Ford
dealer showrooms, even as potential buyers waited anxiously to get the new
model. Instead, all of the new 1
vehicles were parked in lots outside factories
while quality control engineers9examined 100 of them for defects in assembly
and workmanship. The intense, 24-hour-a-day inspection process continued
for three months, delaying the 0launch of the highly profitable new Explorer.
While no one could blame Ford’s
2 executives for wanting to minimize costly
product recalls, many auto industry analysts, car buyers, and owners of Ford
T Ford was undertaking too much quality
dealerships nonetheless thought
control. Ford’s CEO assured his
S critics that choosing to add three months
of quality control measures was optimal, or best, under the circumstances.
Apparently, he believed the benefit of engaging in three months of quality
control effort (the savings attributable to preventing vehicle recalls) outweighed
88
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 88
8/11/15 4:36 PM
C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions 89
the cost of the additional quality control measures (the loss and delay of profit
as 5,000 new Explorers spent three months in factory parking lots).
As you can see, Ford’s CEO, weighing costs and benefits, made a critical
decision that three months, rather than two months or four months, and a sample
of 100 vehicles, rather than 50 vehicles or 300 vehicles, were the optimal or best
levels of these two quality control decisions for launching the redesigned E
xplorer.
We don’t have enough information about Ford’s costs and benefits of quality
control to tell you whether the CEO succeeded in making the optimal decision for
Ford. We can, however, R
tell you that one year later Consumer Reports still ranked
the overall reliability of Ford automobiles dead last and Ford had a new CEO.
I effort would have been optimal.
Perhaps more quality control
A manager’s decisionC
is optimal if it leads to the best outcome under a given
set of circumstances. Finding the best solution involves applying the fundamental
A theory developed in this chapter. These analytical
principles of optimization
principles, which economists
refer to as “marginal analysis,” turn out to be
R
nothing more than a formal presentation of commonsense ideas you already apply,
D it, in your everyday life. Marginal analysis supplies
probably without knowing
the fundamental logic for
, making optimal decisions. Managers benefit from
understanding marginal analysis because it enables them to make better decisions
while avoiding some rather common errors in business decision making.
The idea behind marginal
A analysis is this: When a manager contemplates
whether a particular business activity needs adjusting, either more or less, to reach
D
the best value, the manager needs to estimate how changing the activity will affect
both the benefits the firmRreceives from engaging in the activity and the costs the
firm incurs from engaging
I in the activity. If changing the activity level causes
benefits to rise by more than costs rise, or, alternatively, costs to fall by more than
benefits fall, then the netEbenefit the firm receives from the activity will rise. The
manager should continueNadjusting the activity level until no further net gains are
possible, which means the activity has reached its optimal value or level.
N 1, managers face two general types of decisions:
As mentioned in Chapter
routine business practice
E or tactical decisions and strategic decisions that can
alter the firm’s competitive environment. Marginal analysis builds the essential
foundation for making everyday business decisions, such as choosing the
number of workers to hire,
1 the amount of output to produce, the amount to
spend on advertising, and so on. While strategic decision making relies heavily
9
on concepts from game theory,
strategic analysis nevertheless depends indirectly
on optimal decision making
as
the
means for computing or forecasting the payoffs
0
under various strategy options.
2
T
3.1 CONCEPTS AND TERMINOLOGY
Optimizing behavior on S
the part of a decision maker involves trying to maximize
objective function
The function the decision
maker seeks to maximize
or minimize.
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 89
or minimize an objective function. For a manager of a firm, the objective function
is usually profit, which is to be maximized. For a consumer, the objective function
is the satisfaction derived from consumption of goods, which is to be maximized.
8/11/15 4:36 PM
90 C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions
maximization problem
An optimization problem
that involves maximizing
the objective function.
minimization problem
An optimization problem
that involves minimizing
the objective function.
activities or choice
variables
Variables that determine
the value of the objective
function.
discrete choice
variables
A choice variable that
can take only specific
integer values.
continuous choice
variables
A choice variable that
can take any value
between two end points.
unconstrained
optimization
An optimization problem
in which the decision
maker can choose the
level of activity from
an unrestricted set of
values.
constrained
optimization
An optimization problem
in which the decision
maker chooses values
for the choice variables
from a restricted set of
values.
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 90
For a city manager seeking to provide adequate law enforcement services, the
objective function might be cost, which is to be minimized. For the manager of the
marketing division of a large corporation, the objective function is usually sales,
which are to be maximized. The objective function measures whatever it is that the
particular decision maker wishes to either maximize or minimize.
If the decision maker seeks to maximize an objective function, the optimization
problem is called a maximization problem. Alternatively, if the objective function
is to be minimized, the optimization problem is called a minimization problem.
As a general rule, when the objective
R function measures a benefit, the decision
maker seeks to maximize this benefit and is solving a maximization problem.
I a cost, the decision maker seeks to minimize
When the objective function measures
this cost and is solving a minimization
C problem.
The value of the objective function is determined by the level of one or more
A example, the value of profit depends on the
activities or choice variables. For
number of units of output produced
R and sold. The production of units of the good
is the activity that determines the value of the objective function, which in this
Dcontrols the value of the objective function by
case is profit. The decision maker
choosing the levels of the activities
, or choice variables.
The choice variables in the optimization problems discussed in this text will
at times vary discretely and at other times vary continuously. A discrete choice
variable can take on only specified
A integer values, such as 1, 2, 3, . . . , or 10, 20,
30, . . . Examples of discrete choice variables arise when benefit and cost data
D
are presented in a table, where each row represents one value of the choice
R of discrete choice variables will be presented
variable. In this text, all examples
in tables. A continuous choice variable
can take on any value between two end
I
points. For example, a continuous variable that can vary between 0 and 10 can
E or any one of the infinite number of values
take on the value 2, 2.345, 7.9, 8.999,
between the two limits. Examples
N of continuous choice variables are usually
presented graphically but are sometimes shown by equations. As it turns out, the
N in the discrete and continuous cases.
optimization rules differ only slightly
In addition to being categorized
E as either maximization or minimization
problems, optimization problems are also categorized according to whether the
decision maker can choose the values of the choice variables in the objective
function from an unconstrained
1 or constrained set of values. Unconstrained
optimization problems occur when a decision maker can choose any level of
9 to maximize the objective function. In this
activity he or she wishes in order
chapter, we show how to solve only
0 unconstrained maximization problems since
all the unconstrained decision problems we address in this text are maximization
2
problems. Constrained optimization problems involve choosing the levels of
T or minimize the objective function subject
two or more activities that maximize
to an additional requirement or constraint that restricts the values of A and B
S
that can be chosen. An example of such a constraint arises when the total cost
of the chosen activity levels must equal a specified constraint on cost. In this
text, we examine both constrained maximization and constrained minimization problems.
8/11/15 4:36 PM
C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions 91
marginal analysis
Analytical technique for
solving optimization
problems that involves
changing values of
choice variables by small
amounts to see if the
objective function can be
further improved.
Now try Technical
Problem 1.
As we show later in this chapter, the constrained maximization and the
constrained minimization problems have one simple rule for the solution. Therefore,
you will only have one rule to learn for all constrained optimization problems.
Even though there are a huge number of possible maximizing or minimizing
decisions, you will see that all optimization problems can be solved using the
single analytical technique, mentioned at the beginning of this chapter: marginal
analysis. Marginal analysis involves changing the value(s) of the choice
variable(s) by a small amount to see if the objective function can be further
increased (in the case ofRmaximization problems) or further decreased (in the
case of minimization problems). If so, the manager continues to make
incremental adjustmentsI in the choice variables until no further improvements
are possible. Marginal
C analysis leads to two simple rules for solving
optimization problems, one for unconstrained decisions and one for constrained
decisions. We turn first A
to the unconstrained decision.
R
D
Any activity that decision
, makers might wish to undertake will generate both
3.2 UNCONSTRAINED MAXIMIZATION
net benefit
The objective function
to be maximized:
NB 5 TB 2 TC.
benefits and costs. Consequently, decision makers will want to choose the level
of activity to obtain the maximum possible net benefit from the activity, where the
net benefit (NB) associated
A with a specific amount of activity (A) is the difference
between total benefit (TB) and total cost (TC) for the activity
D
NB 5 TB 2 TC
R
Net benefit, then, serves as the objective function to be maximized, and the amount
of activity, A, representsI the choice variable. Furthermore, decision makers can
choose any level of activity
E they wish, from zero to infinity, in either discrete or
continuous units. Thus, we are studying unconstrained maximization in this section.
N
The Optimal Level of Activity
(A*)
N
We begin the analysis ofEunconstrained maximization with a rather typical set
of total benefit and total cost curves for some activity, A, as shown in Panel A of
Figure 3.1. Total benefit increases with higher levels of activity up to 1,000 units of
activity (point G); then total
1 benefit falls beyond this point. Total cost begins at a
value of zero and rises continuously as activity increases. These “typical” curves
9 rules for finding the best solution to all such unconallow us to derive general
strained problems, even0though specific problems encountered in later chapters
sometimes involve benefit and cost curves with shapes that differ somewhat from
2
those shown in Panel A. For example, total benefit curves can be linear. Total cost
curves can be linear or even
T S-shaped. And, as you will see in later chapters, total
cost curves can include fixed costs when they take positive values at zero units of
S
activity. In all of these variations, however, the rules for making the best decisions
do not change. By learning how to solve the optimization problem as set forth in
Figure 3.1, you will be prepared to solve all variations of these problems that come
later in the text.
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 91
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92 C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions
F I G U R E 3.1
The Optimal Level of Activity
TC
Total benefit and total cost (dollars)
4,000
RD
I
C
D9
A
R
NB* 5 $1,225
D
,
B
2,310
2,000
C
1,085
1,000
B9
C9
200
350 5 A*
Net benefit (dollars)
Panel A — Total benefit and total cost curves
1,225
1,000
Panel B — Net benefit curve
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 92
M
A
D
R600 700
Level of
I activity (A)
E
N
N
E
1,000
c99
600
0
TB
F
3,000
0
G
200
350 5 A*
1d 99
f 99
9
0600
Level of activity (A)
2
T
S
1,000
NB
8/11/15 4:36 PM
C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions 93
I L L U S T R AT I O N 3 . 1
Is Cost–Benefit Analysis Really Useful?
We have extolled the usefulness of marginal analysis
in optimal decision making—often referred to as cost–
benefit analysis—in business decision making as well as
decision making in everyday life. This process involves
weighing the marginal benefits and marginal costs of
an activity while ignoring all previously incurredR
or
sunk costs. The principal rule is to increase the levelI of
an activity if marginal benefits exceed marginal costs
C
and decrease the level if marginal costs exceed marginal
benefits. This simple rule, however, flies in the faceA
of
many honored traditional principles such as “Never
R
give up” or “Anything worth doing is worth doing
well” or “Waste not, want not.” So you might wonder
D
if cost–benefit analysis is as useful as we have said it is.
It is, at least according to an article in The Wall
,
Street Journal entitled “Economic Perspective Produces
Steady Yields.” In this article, a University of Michigan
research team concludes, “Cost–benefit analysis pays
A
off in everyday living.” This team quizzed some of
D
the university’s seniors and faculty members on such
questions as how often they walk out on a bad movie,
R
refuse to finish a bad novel, start over on a weak term
paper, or abandon a research project that no longer
I
looks promising. They believe that people who cut
optimal level of
activity
The level of activity that
maximizes net benefit (A*).
their losses this way are following sound economic
rules: calculating the net benefits of alternative courses
of action, writing off past costs that can’t be recovered,
and weighing the opportunity to use future time and
effort more profitably elsewhere.a
The findings: Among faculty members, those
who use cost–benefit reasoning in this fashion had
higher salaries relative to their age and departments.
Economists were more likely to apply the approach
than professors of humanities or biology. Among
students, those who have learned to use cost–benefit
analysis frequently are apt to have far better grades
than their SAT scores would have predicted. The
more economics courses the students had taken, the
more likely they were to apply cost–benefit analysis
outside the classroom. The director of the University
of Michigan study did concede that for many
Americans cost–benefit rules often appear to conflict
with traditional principles such as those we previously mentioned. Notwithstanding these probable
conflicts, the study provides evidence that decision
makers can indeed prosper by following the logic of
marginal analysis and cost–benefit analysis.
“Economic Perspective Produces Steady Yield,” The Wall
Street Journal, March 31, 1992.
a
E
N
The level of activity that maximizes net benefit is called the optimal level of
N from other levels of activity with an asterisk: A*. In
activity, which we distinguish
Panel A of Figure 3.1, netEbenefit at any particular level of activity is measured by
the vertical distance between the total benefit and total cost curves. At 200 units
of activity, for example, net benefit equals the length of line segment CC9, which
happens to be $1,000 as shown
in Panel B at point c”. Panel B of Figure 3.1 shows
1
the net benefit curve associated with the TB and TC curves in Panel A. As you can
9
see from examining the net benefit curve in Panel B, the optimal level of activity,
0reaches its maximum value. At 350 units in Panel A, the
A*, is 350 units, where NB
vertical distance between TB and TC is maximized, and this maximum distance is
2
$1, 225 (5 NB*).1
1
T
S the optimal activity level was 700 units since two curves in
You might, at first, have thought
Panel A of Figure 3.1 intersect at point F, and this situation frequently identifies “correct” answers in
economics. But, as you can see in Panel B, choosing 700 units of activity creates no more net benefit
than choosing to do nothing at all (i.e., choosing A 5 0) because total benefit equals total cost at both
zero and 700 units of activity.
tho21901_ch03_088-120.indd 93
8/11/15 4:36 PM
94 C H A P T E R 3 Marginal Analysis for Optimal Decisions
Now try Technical
Problem 2.
Two important observations can now be made about A* in unconstrained maximization problems. First, the optimal level of activity does not generally result
in maximization of total benefits. In Panel A of Figure 3.1, you can see that total
benefit is still rising at the optimal point B. As we will demonstrate later in this
book, for one of the most important applications of this technique, profit maximization, the optimal level of production occurs at a point where revenues are
not maximized. This outcome can confuse managers, especially ones who believe
any decision that increases revenue should be undertaken. We will have much
more to say about this later in the
Rtext. Second, the optimal level of activity in an
unconstrained maximization problem does not result in minimization of total cost.
In Panel A, you can easily verify Ithat total cost isn’t minimized at A* but rather at
zero units of activity.
C
Finding A* in Figure 3.1 seems easy enough. A decision maker starts with the
A in Panel A and subtracts the total cost curve
total benefit and total cost curves
from the total benefit curve to construct
the net benefit curve in Panel B. Then,
R
the decision maker chooses the value of A corresponding to the peak of the net
D wonder why we are going to develop an
benefit curve. You might reasonably
alternative method, marginal analysis,
for making optimal decisions. Perhaps
,
the most important reason for learning how to use marginal analysis is that
economists regard marginal analysis as “the central organizing principle of
economic theory.”2 The graphical
A derivation of net benefit shown in Figure 3.1
serves only to define and describe the optimal level of activity; it does not explain
D
why net benefit rise ...
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One thing you will need to do in college is learn how to find and use references. References support your ideas. College-level work must be supported by research. You are expected to do that for this paper. You will research
Elaborate on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study 20.0\% Elaboration on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study is missing. Elaboration on any potenti
3 The first thing I would do in the family’s first session is develop a genogram of the family to get an idea of all the individuals who play a major role in Linda’s life. After establishing where each member is in relation to the family
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Note: The requirements outlined below correspond to the grading criteria in the scoring guide. At a minimum
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Read Connecting Communities and Complexity: A Case Study in Creating the Conditions for Transformational Change
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Use the bolded black section and sub-section titles below to organize your paper. For each section
Losinski forwarded the article on a priority basis to Mary Scott
Losinksi wanted details on use of the ED at CGH. He asked the administrative resident