QUANT HOMEWORK

QUANT homework - Business & Finance
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Time-series data is collected, on a subject, over a sequence of time periods. For this HW assignment , it is assumed the data are gathered over one particular interval of time (for instance: weekly, daily, monthly, yearly etc … and no varied combination of these particular intervals is considered) The goal , when analyzing a time-series, is to produce predictions (forecast) of the measurement taken on the subject at some future time interval.  There are many approaches to generating a forecast when conducting time-series analyses.  However, in this HW assignment, you will explore some of the built in features available in Excel that can be used for time-series investigations.   We’ll assume that past patterns that may be present in the time-series data that you are assigned continue into the future.  For this week’s activity, you’ll use your assigned time-series dataset. Directions 1)  Open the HW Dataset.  Examine the first row and based on the first letter of your last name, identify the timeseries data you are to use when completing this assignment. 2)     Review and Use the Time Series Excel Practice workbook, posted to Moodle, as your guide to investigate this time-series data.  Apply all the steps as specified in the workbook and respond to each question or prompt. Submit and Format all tables and charts to class expectations to avoid formatting point loss.  See Exemplars and class notes posted to Moodle. 3)     Post your results to Moodle in PDF format.  Your writeup should include each prompt presented in the Time-series Excel Practice workbook, the number of the prompt, your responses to the prompts, and all generated charts and tables.  Charts and tables are expected to be formatted to class expectations (see Exemplar). DO NOT SUBMIT the EXCEL time series data set Sheet1 First Letter of Your Last Name A-M N-Z DATE DJIA DATE NASDAQ 9-Feb 8270.87 9-Feb 1591.56 9-Jan 8000.86 9-Jan 1476.42 8-Dec 8776.39 8-Dec 1577.03 8-Nov 8829.04 8-Nov 1535.57 8-Oct 9336.93 8-Oct 1720.95 8-Sep 10850.66 8-Sep 2091.88 8-Aug 11543.55 8-Aug 2367.52 8-Jul 11378.02 8-Jul 2325.55 8-Jun 11350.01 8-Jun 2292.98 8-May 12638.32 8-May 2522.66 8-Apr 12820.13 8-Apr 2412.80 8-Mar 12262.89 8-Mar 2279.10 8-Feb 12266.39 8-Feb 2271.48 8-Jan 12650.36 8-Jan 2389.86 7-Dec 13264.82 7-Dec 2652.28 7-Nov 13371.72 7-Nov 2660.96 7-Oct 13930.01 7-Oct 2859.12 7-Sep 13895.63 7-Sep 2701.50 7-Aug 13357.74 7-Aug 2596.36 7-Jul 13211.99 7-Jul 2546.27 7-Jun 13408.62 7-Jun 2603.23 7-May 13627.64 7-May 2604.52 7-Apr 13062.91 7-Apr 2525.09 Sheet2 Sheet3 HW Week 7 (Submit in PDF format only) Time-series data is collected, on a subject, over a sequence of time periods. For this HW assignment , it is assumed the data are gathered over one particular interval of time (for instance: weekly, daily, monthly, yearly etc … and no varied combination of these particular intervals is considered) The goal , when analyzing a time-series, is to produce predictions (forecast) of the measurement taken on the subject at some future time interval.  There are many approaches to generating a forecast when conducting time-series analyses.  However, in this HW assignment, you will explore some of the built in features available in Excel that can be used for time-series investigations.   We’ll assume that past patterns that may be present in the time-series data that you are assigned continue into the future.  For this week’s activity, you’ll use your assigned time-series dataset. Directions 1) Open the HW Dataset. Examine the first row and based on the first letter of your last name, identify the timeseries data you are to use when completing this assignment. 2)     Review and Use the Time Series Excel Practice workbook, posted to Moodle, as your guide to investigate this time-series data.  Apply all the steps as specified in the workbook and respond to each question or prompt. Submit and Format all tables and charts to class expectations to avoid formatting point loss. See Exemplars and class notes posted to Moodle. 3)     Post your results to Moodle in PDF format.  Your writeup should include each prompt presented in the Time-series Excel Practice workbook, the number of the prompt, your responses to the prompts, and all generated charts and tables.  Charts and tables are expected to be formatted to class expectations (see Exemplar). DO NOT SUBMIT the EXCEL time series data set Line Graph 1) Generate a line graph to viualize your time-series data. Place the time intervals on the horizontal axis Time Index Quarter Sales 1 Q1 73 2 Q2 90 3 Q3 121 4 Q4 98 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 8 Q4 107 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 2) How might you describe the TREND of the time-series? (upward or downward) 15 Q3 159 Reading the graph from left to right, this time series looks as if the data is trending upward 16 Q4 131 Sales Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Quarters Sales Trendline 3) Use Excel to add a trendline to the time-series chart Time Index Quarter Sales 1 Q1 73 2 Q2 90 3 Q3 121 4 Q4 98 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 8 Q4 107 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 4) Upon visual inspection, which trendline appears to be most resprentative of the time-series data? 15 Q3 159 For this chart, the Moving Averages, with period 2, trend line appears to be most representative 16 Q4 131 Sales Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Quarters Sales Exponential Smoothing 5) Use exponential smoothing (Data .. Data Analysis … Exponential Smoothing) to smooth out the peaks and vallies in the plot to better see the trend Time Index Quarter Sales Use dampening factors = .3, .6, and .9 to generate 3 charts 1 Q1 73 2 Q2 90 see image below 3 Q3 121 4 Q4 98 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 8 Q4 107 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 15 Q3 159 16 Q4 131 ExponentialSmoothing2 Time Index Quarter Sales 0.3 0.6 0.9 1 Q1 73 ERROR:#N/A ERROR:#N/A ERROR:#N/A 2 Q2 90 73 73 73 3 Q3 121 84.9 79.8 74.7 4 Q4 98 110.17 96.28 79.33 5 Q1 69 101.651 96.968 81.197 6 Q2 92 78.7953 85.7808 79.9773 7 Q3 145 88.03859 88.26848 81.17957 8 Q4 107 127.911577 110.961088 87.561613 9 Q1 86 113.2734731 109.3766528 89.5054517 10 Q2 111 94.18204193 100.02599168 89.15490653 11 Q3 157 105.954612579 104.415595008 91.339415877 12 Q4 122 141.6863837737 125.4493570048 97.9054742893 13 Q1 88 127.9059151321 124.0696142029 100.3149268604 6) Discuss what happens in the chart as the dampening factor increases? 14 Q2 109 99.9717745396 109.6417685217 99.0834341743 15 Q3 159 106.2915323619 109.385061113 100.0750907569 ) Use of which dampening factor has aided in your ability to see the time-series trend 16 Q4 131 143.1874597086 129.2310366678 105.9675816812 .3 dampening factor Actual 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast #N/A 73 84.899999999999991 110.16999999999999 101.65099999999998 78.795299999999997 88.038589999999985 127.91157699999999 113.27347309999999 94.182041929999997 105.95461257899998 141.68638377369999 127.90591513210998 99.971774539632989 106.29153236188989 143.18745970856696 Time Point Sales .6 Dampening Factor Actual 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast #N/A 73 79.8 96.28 96.968000000000004 85.780799999999999 88.268480000000011 110.961088 109.37665280000002 100.02599168 104.415595008 125.44935700479999 124.06961420287999 109.641768521728 109.38506111303678 129.23103666782208 Time Point Sales .9 Dampening Factor Actual 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast #N/A 73 74.7 79.330000000000013 81.197000000000017 79.977300000000028 81.179570000000027 87.561613000000023 89.505451700000023 89.154906530000019 91.339415877000022 97.905474289300031 100.31492686037004 99.083434174333036 100.07509075689974 105.96758168120978 Time Point Sales Seasonality 8) Do you notice any SEASONAL effects? (predictable fluctuations (systematic) that occur during the same month (or quarters, etc ..) Time Index Quarter Sales 1 Q1 73 2 Q2 90 3 Q3 121 4 Q4 98 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 8 Q4 107 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 15 Q3 159 16 Q4 131 There appears to be a seasonal effect present in the graph. The graph fluctuates in a predictable pattern from quarter 1 to quarter 4 or yearly. Sales start low in quarter 1 and increases to a peak in Quarter 3 then decreases in Quarter 4 to near quarter 2 sales levels but not quite as low as sales posted for quarter 1. That is, it is expected that quarter 1 sales will be the lowest for the year and quarter 3 sales will be highest. Sales Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Quarters Sales Forecast Sheet 9) Use Excel to Generate a Forecast sheet (Data … Forecast Menu … Forecast Sheet…Options) to predict valuse for the next 5 time intervals Use the Time Period colum for the Timeline Range window (see image below) Time Index Quarter Sales 1 Q1 73 2 Q2 90 3 Q3 121 4 Q4 98 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 8 Q4 107 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 15 Q3 159 16 Q4 131 Enter the last Excel row number in your dataset Add 5 to your Forecast Start value Uncheck this box Time period column Measurement Data Forecast Sheet 2 Timeline Values Forecast 1 73 10) List the next 5 values forecast 2 90 3 121 4 98 5 69 6 92 7 145 8 107 9 86 10 111 11 157 12 122 13 88 14 109 15 159 16 131 131 17 102.942759682 18 126.3070109774 19 168.6907692028 20 138.1787504264 21 112.411840624 Timeline Forecast 17 102.942759682 18 126.3070109774 19 168.6907692028 20 138.1787504264 21 112.411840624 Values 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 131 102.94275968196206 126.30701097740565 168.69076920283931 138.17875042637019 112.41184062403286 Moving Average Time Index Quarter Sales if there is no apparent trend, then smoothing with moving averages could be a next step to help identify the long term trend 1 Q1 73 used to reduce the random fluctuation 2 Q2 90 Simple moving average (SMA) is an arithmetic average of values at and near a particular time period - each observation is weighted equally 3 Q3 121 compute means for a sequence of L observed values 4 Q4 98 assumes observations which are nearby in time are also likely to be close in value 5 Q1 69 6 Q2 92 7 Q3 145 11) Use Data … Data Analysis … Moving Average ) to generate a 3 and 5 time period moving average chart 8 Q4 107 (See image below) 9 Q1 86 10 Q2 111 11 Q3 157 12 Q4 122 13 Q1 88 14 Q2 109 15 Q3 159 16 Q4 131 Data Measured Moving average period (3 or 5) Check to generate chart Moving Average2 Time Index Quarter Sales 1 Q1 73 ERROR:#N/A ERROR:#N/A 2 Q2 90 ERROR:#N/A ERROR:#N/A 3 Q3 121 94.6666666667 ERROR:#N/A 4 Q4 98 103 ERROR:#N/A 5 Q1 69 96 90.2 6 Q2 92 86.3333333333 94 7 Q3 145 102 105 8 Q4 107 114.6666666667 102.2 9 Q1 86 112.6666666667 99.8 10 Q2 111 101.3333333333 108.2 11 Q3 157 118 121.2 12 Q4 122 130 116.6 13 Q1 88 122.3333333333 112.8 12) Using visual inspection, discuss the differences between the 3 and 5 period Moving Averages charts 14 Q2 109 106.3333333333 117.4 15 Q3 159 118.6666666667 127 16 Q4 131 133 121.8 3 Quarter Moving Average Actual 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast #N/A #N/A 94.666666666666671 103 96 86.333333333333329 102 114.66666666666667 112.66666666666667 101.33333333333333 118 130 122.33333333333333 106.33333333333333 118.66666666666667 133 Time Points Sales 5 Quarter Moving Average Actual 73 90 121 98 69 92 145 107 86 111 157 122 88 109 159 131 Forecast #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 90.2 94 105 102.2 99.8 108.2 121.2 116.6 112.8 117.4 127 121.8 Time Points Sales Times Series Introduction Moving Averages • Used to smooth the times series such that the trend can be more easily determined • Simple n-day moving average is calculated by taking the successive averages of n consecutive values in the time series • Exponential moving average is a weighted average giving more priority to values observed later in the time series
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Your assignment may be more than 5 paragraphs but not less. INSTRUCTIONS:  To access the FNU Online Library for journals and articles you can go the FNU library link here:  https://www.fnu.edu/library/ In order to n that draws upon the theoretical reading to explain and contextualize the design choices. Be sure to directly quote or paraphrase the reading ce to the vaccine. Your campaign must educate and inform the audience on the benefits but also create for safe and open dialogue. A key metric of your campaign will be the direct increase in numbers.  Key outcomes: The approach that you take must be clear Mechanical Engineering Organic chemistry Geometry nment Topic You will need to pick one topic for your project (5 pts) Literature search You will need to perform a literature search for your topic Geophysics you been involved with a company doing a redesign of business processes Communication on Customer Relations. Discuss how two-way communication on social media channels impacts businesses both positively and negatively. Provide any personal examples from your experience od pressure and hypertension via a community-wide intervention that targets the problem across the lifespan (i.e. includes all ages). Develop a community-wide intervention to reduce elevated blood pressure and hypertension in the State of Alabama that in in body of the report Conclusions References (8 References Minimum) *** Words count = 2000 words. *** In-Text Citations and References using Harvard style. *** In Task section I’ve chose (Economic issues in overseas contracting)" Electromagnetism w or quality improvement; it was just all part of good nursing care.  The goal for quality improvement is to monitor patient outcomes using statistics for comparison to standards of care for different diseases e a 1 to 2 slide Microsoft PowerPoint presentation on the different models of case management.  Include speaker notes... .....Describe three different models of case management. visual representations of information. They can include numbers SSAY ame workbook for all 3 milestones. You do not need to download a new copy for Milestones 2 or 3. When you submit Milestone 3 pages): Provide a description of an existing intervention in Canada making the appropriate buying decisions in an ethical and professional manner. Topic: Purchasing and Technology You read about blockchain ledger technology. Now do some additional research out on the Internet and share your URL with the rest of the class be aware of which features their competitors are opting to include so the product development teams can design similar or enhanced features to attract more of the market. The more unique low (The Top Health Industry Trends to Watch in 2015) to assist you with this discussion.         https://youtu.be/fRym_jyuBc0 Next year the $2.8 trillion U.S. healthcare industry will   finally begin to look and feel more like the rest of the business wo evidence-based primary care curriculum. Throughout your nurse practitioner program Vignette Understanding Gender Fluidity Providing Inclusive Quality Care Affirming Clinical Encounters Conclusion References Nurse Practitioner Knowledge Mechanics and word limit is unit as a guide only. The assessment may be re-attempted on two further occasions (maximum three attempts in total). All assessments must be resubmitted 3 days within receiving your unsatisfactory grade. You must clearly indicate “Re-su Trigonometry Article writing Other 5. June 29 After the components sending to the manufacturing house 1. In 1972 the Furman v. Georgia case resulted in a decision that would put action into motion. Furman was originally sentenced to death because of a murder he committed in Georgia but the court debated whether or not this was a violation of his 8th amend One of the first conflicts that would need to be investigated would be whether the human service professional followed the responsibility to client ethical standard.  While developing a relationship with client it is important to clarify that if danger or Ethical behavior is a critical topic in the workplace because the impact of it can make or break a business No matter which type of health care organization With a direct sale During the pandemic Computers are being used to monitor the spread of outbreaks in different areas of the world and with this record 3. Furman v. Georgia is a U.S Supreme Court case that resolves around the Eighth Amendments ban on cruel and unsual punishment in death penalty cases. The Furman v. Georgia case was based on Furman being convicted of murder in Georgia. Furman was caught i One major ethical conflict that may arise in my investigation is the Responsibility to Client in both Standard 3 and Standard 4 of the Ethical Standards for Human Service Professionals (2015).  Making sure we do not disclose information without consent ev 4. Identify two examples of real world problems that you have observed in your personal Summary & Evaluation: Reference & 188. Academic Search Ultimate Ethics We can mention at least one example of how the violation of ethical standards can be prevented. Many organizations promote ethical self-regulation by creating moral codes to help direct their business activities *DDB is used for the first three years For example The inbound logistics for William Instrument refer to purchase components from various electronic firms. During the purchase process William need to consider the quality and price of the components. In this case 4. A U.S. Supreme Court case known as Furman v. Georgia (1972) is a landmark case that involved Eighth Amendment’s ban of unusual and cruel punishment in death penalty cases (Furman v. Georgia (1972) With covid coming into place In my opinion with Not necessarily all home buyers are the same! When you choose to work with we buy ugly houses Baltimore & nationwide USA The ability to view ourselves from an unbiased perspective allows us to critically assess our personal strengths and weaknesses. This is an important step in the process of finding the right resources for our personal learning style. Ego and pride can be · By Day 1 of this week While you must form your answers to the questions below from our assigned reading material CliftonLarsonAllen LLP (2013) 5 The family dynamic is awkward at first since the most outgoing and straight forward person in the family in Linda Urien The most important benefit of my statistical analysis would be the accuracy with which I interpret the data. The greatest obstacle From a similar but larger point of view 4 In order to get the entire family to come back for another session I would suggest coming in on a day the restaurant is not open When seeking to identify a patient’s health condition After viewing the you tube videos on prayer Your paper must be at least two pages in length (not counting the title and reference pages) The word assimilate is negative to me. I believe everyone should learn about a country that they are going to live in. It doesnt mean that they have to believe that everything in America is better than where they came from. It means that they care enough Data collection Single Subject Chris is a social worker in a geriatric case management program located in a midsize Northeastern town. She has an MSW and is part of a team of case managers that likes to continuously improve on its practice. The team is currently using an I would start off with Linda on repeating her options for the child and going over what she is feeling with each option.  I would want to find out what she is afraid of.  I would avoid asking her any “why” questions because I want her to be in the here an Summarize the advantages and disadvantages of using an Internet site as means of collecting data for psychological research (Comp 2.1) 25.0\% Summarization of the advantages and disadvantages of using an Internet site as means of collecting data for psych Identify the type of research used in a chosen study Compose a 1 Optics effect relationship becomes more difficult—as the researcher cannot enact total control of another person even in an experimental environment. Social workers serve clients in highly complex real-world environments. Clients often implement recommended inte I think knowing more about you will allow you to be able to choose the right resources Be 4 pages in length soft MB-920 dumps review and documentation and high-quality listing pdf MB-920 braindumps also recommended and approved by Microsoft experts. The practical test g One thing you will need to do in college is learn how to find and use references. References support your ideas. College-level work must be supported by research. You are expected to do that for this paper. You will research Elaborate on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study 20.0\% Elaboration on any potential confounds or ethical concerns while participating in the psychological study is missing. Elaboration on any potenti 3 The first thing I would do in the family’s first session is develop a genogram of the family to get an idea of all the individuals who play a major role in Linda’s life. After establishing where each member is in relation to the family A Health in All Policies approach Note: The requirements outlined below correspond to the grading criteria in the scoring guide. At a minimum Chen Read Connecting Communities and Complexity: A Case Study in Creating the Conditions for Transformational Change Read Reflections on Cultural Humility Read A Basic Guide to ABCD Community Organizing Use the bolded black section and sub-section titles below to organize your paper. For each section Losinski forwarded the article on a priority basis to Mary Scott Losinksi wanted details on use of the ED at CGH. He asked the administrative resident