Projecting Income, Balance & Cash Flow Statements - Accounting
Need assistance with the last three tabs in the attached EXCEL document:
o The 16th tab in your Financial Statement Analysis Template must be labeled Projected Income Statements. Three years of projected statements should be included, starting with the most recent year after the company’s last issued report.
o The 17th tab in your Financial Statement Analysis Template must be labeled Projected Balance Sheets. Three years of projected statements should be included. Three years of projected statements should be included, starting with the most recent year after the company’s last issued report.
o The 18th tab in your Financial Statement Analysis Template must be labeled Projected Statement of Cash Flows. Three years of projected statements should be included, starting with the most recent year after the company’s last issued report.
Other information relating to projected tabs:
Projections should be based on research performed on your company and its industry. Use historical, trend, ratio data and current and future economic projections as well as information from the company’s MD&A to aid in preparing projections.
Clearly state your assumptions in a text box at the bottom of each tab. Cite sources for assumptions based on research.
The statements should be consistent, reasonable, and accurate. Areas that will be checked for accuracy include:
· The Balance Sheets should balance for all years presented.
· Retained earnings should be properly calculated using the prior year’s balance, net income, and dividends.
· The Ending Cash Balance on the Statement of Cash Flows should agree to the Cash Balance shown on the Balance Sheet for the same year.
· Net Income on the Income Statements should match what is reported on the top of the Statement of Cash Flows (if indirect method is used).
Company Information
ACCT 370 Excel Project
Dollar General Corporation
100 Mission Ridge, Goodlettsville, TN 37072
Jennifer Edmonds
Company Name Dollar General Corporation
Ticker Symbol DG
Industry Discount Retailer
Products and Services Offered Dollar General offers a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Brands sold include national brads and private brand selections at every day low prices.
Major Competitors Dollar General Corporations main competitors are Family Dollar, Dollar Tree, Big Lots, 99 Cents Only
Historical Income Statements
Dollar General Corporation
Consolidated Income Statement
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 January 31, 2020 February 1, 2019
Net Sales $ 33,746,839 $ 27,753,973 $ 25,625,043
Cost of goods sold $ 23,027,977 $ 19,264,912 $ 17,821,173
Gross profit $ 10,718,862 $ 8,489,061 $ 7,803,870
Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 7,164,097 $ 6,186,757 $ 5,687,564
Operating profit $ 3,554,765 $ 2,302,304 $ 2,116,306
Interest expense $ 150,385 $ 100,574 $ 99,871
Other (income) expense $ - 0 $ - 0 $ 1,019
Income before income taxes $ 3,404,380 $ 2,201,730 $ 2,015,416
Income tax expense $ 749,330 $ 489,175 $ 425,944
Net income $ 2,655,050 $ 1,712,555 $ 1,589,472
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 10.70 $ 6.68 $ 5.99
Dilute $ 10.62 $ 6.64 $ 5.97
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Basic 248,171 256,533 265,155
Dilute 250,076 258,053 266,105
Dividends per share $ 1.44 $ 1.28 $ 1.16
Historical Balance Sheets
Dollar General Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 January 31, 2020 February 1, 2019
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,376,577 $ 240,320 $ 235,487
Merchandise inventoires 5,247,477 4,676,848 4,097,004
Income tax receivable 90,760 76,537 57,804
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 199,405 184,163 272,725
Total current assets 6,914,219 5,177,868 4,663,020
Net property and equipment 3,899,997 3,278,359 2,970,806
Operating lease assets 9,473,330 8,796,183 -
Goodwill 4,338,589 4,338,589 4,338,589
Other intangible assets, net 1,199,870 1,200,006 1,200,217
Other assets, net 69,619 34,079 31,406
Total assets 25,895,624 22,825,084 13,204,038
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Current portion of long-term obligation - 0 - 0 1,950
Current portion of operating lease liabilities $ 1,074,079 $ 964,805 $ -
Accounts payable 3,614,089 2,860,682 2,385,469
Accured expenses and other 1,006,552 709,156 618,405
Income taxes payable 16,063 8,362 10,033
Total current liabilities 5,710,783 4,543,005 3,015,857
Long-term obligations 4,130,975 2,911,993 2,862,740
Long-term operating lease liabilities 8,385,388 7,819,683 - 0
Deffered income taxes 710,549 675,227 609,687
Other liabilities 263,691 172,676 298,361
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders equity:
Preferred stock - 0 - 0 - 0
Common stock: $0.875 per value, 1,000,000 shares authorized, 240,785; 251,936; and 259,511 shares issued and outstanding at January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019 respectively 210,687 220,444 227,072
Additional paid-in capital 3,446,612 3,322,531 3,252,421
Retained earnings 3,006,102 3,162,660 2,941,107
Accummulated other comprehensive loss (2,163) (3,135) (3,207)
Total shareholders equity 6,661,238 6,702,500 6,417,393
Total liabilities and shareholders equity 25,862,624 22,825,084 13,204,038
Hist. Statement of Cash Flows
Dollar General Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 January 31, 2020 February 1, 2019
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income $ 2,655,050 $ 1,712,555 $ 1,589,472
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash from operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 574,237 504,804 454,134
Deferred income taxes 34,976 55,407 52,325
Noncash share-based compensation 68,609 48,589 40,879
Other noncash (gains) and losses 11,570 8,293 42,870
Change in operating assets and liabilities:
Merchandise inventories (575,827) (578,783) (521,342)
Prepaid expenses and other current assets (16,516) (14,453) (12,097)
Accounts payable 745,596 428,627 375,214
Accrued expenses and other liabilities 388,597 100,322 65,857
Income taxes (6,522) (20,404) 56,390
Other noncash (gains) and losses (3,611) (6,959) (152)
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 3,876,159 2,237,998 2,143,550
Cash flows from investing activities:
Purchases of property and equipment (1,027,963) (784,843) (734,380)
Proceeds from sales of property and equipment 3,053 2,358 2,777
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities (1,024,910) (782,485) (731,603)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Issuance of long-term obligations 1,494,315 - 499,495
Repayments of long-term obligation (4,640) (1,465) (577,321)
Net increase (decrease) in commercial paper outstanding (425,200) 58,300 (63,300)
Borrowings under revolving credit facilities 300,000 - -
Repayments of borrowings under revolving credit facilities (300,000) - -
Costs associated with issuance of debt (13,574) (1,675) (4,384)
Repurchases of common stock (2,466,434) (1,200,376) (1,007,494)
Payments of cash dividends (355,926) (327,568) (306,523)
Other equity and related transactions 56,467 22,104 15,626
Net cash proivded by (used in) financing activities (1,714,992) (1,450,680) (1,443,901)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalments 1,136,257 4,833 (31,954)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 240,320 235,487 267,411
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 1,376,577 $ 240,320 $ 235,457
Supplemental cash flow information:
Cash paid for:
Interest $ 128,211 $ 100,033 $ 98,012
Income taxes $ 721,570 $ 457,119 $ 313,457
Supplemental noncash investing and financing activities:
Right of use assets obtained in exchange for new operating lease liabilities $ 1,721,530 $ 1,705,988
Purchases of property and equipment awaiting processing for payment, included in Accounts payable $ 118,059 $ 100,248 $ 63,662
Big Lots Income Statements
Big Lots, Inc.
Consolidated Income Statement
As of 2020, 2019, and 2018
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
2020 2019 2018
Net Sales $ 6,199,186 $ 5,323,180 $ 5,238,105
Cost of goods sold 3,701,800 3,208,498 3,116,210
Gross margin 2,497,386 2,114,682 2,121,895
Selling, general and administrative expenses 1,965,555 1,823,409 1,778,416
Depreciation expense 138,336 134,981 124,970
Gain on sale of distribution centers (463,053) (178,534) -
Operating profit 856,548 334,826 218,509
Interest expense (11,031) (16,827) (10,338)
Other (income) expense (911) (451) (558)
Income before income taxes 844,606 317,548 207,613
Income tax expense 215,415 75,084 50,719
Net income $ 629,191 $ 242,464 $ 156,894
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 16.46 $ 6.18 $ 3.84
Dilute $ 16.11 $ 6.16 $ 3.83
Big Lots Balance Sheets
Big Lots, Inc.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
As of January 30, 2021, February 1, 2020, and February 2, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 30, 2021 February 1, 2020 February 2, 2019
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 559,556 $ 52,721 $ 46,034
Inventories 940,294 921,266 969,561
Other current assets 85,939 89,962 112,408
Total current assets 1,585,789 1,063,949 1,128,003
Operating lease right-of-use assets 1,649,009 1,202,252 -
Property and equipment - net 717,216 849,147 822,338
Deferred income taxes 16,329 4,762 8,633
Other assets 68,914 69,171 64,373
Total assets 4,037,257 3,189,281 2,023,347
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable $ 398,433 $ 378,241 $ 396,903
Current operating lease liabilities 226,075.0 212,144.0 -0
Property, payroll, and other taxes 109,694.0 82,109.0 75,317.0
Accrued operating expenses 138,331.0 118,973.0 99,422.0
Insurance reserves 34,660.0 36,131.0 38,883.0
Accrued salaries and wages 49,830.0 39,292.0 26,798.0
Income taxes payable 43,601.0 3,930.0 1,237.0
Total current liabilities 1,000,624 870,820 638,560
Long-term debt 35,764 279,464 374,100
Noncurrent operating lease liabilities 1,465,433 1,035,377 - 0
Deferred income taxes 7,762 48,610 - 0
Deferred rent - 0 - 0 60,700
Insurance reserves 57,452 57,567 54,507
Unrecognized tax benefits 11,304 10,722 14,189
Synthetic lease obligation - 0 - 0 144,477
Other liabilities 181,187 41,257 43,773
Shareholders equity:
Preferred stock - 0 - 0 - 0
Common shares - authorized 298,000 shares; $0.01 par value; issued 117,495 shares; outstanding 35,535 shares, 39,037 shares, and 40,042 shares respectively 1,175 1,175 1,175
Treasury shares - 81,960 shares, 78,458 shares, and 77,453 shares, respectively, at cost (2,709,259) (2,546,232) (2,506,086)
Additional paid-in capital 634,813 620,728 622,685
Retained earnings 3,351,002 2,769,793 2,575,267
Total shareholders equity 1,277,731 845,464 693,041
Total liabilities and shareholders equity 4,037,257 3,189,281 2,023,347
Big Lots Cash Flows
Big Lots, Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
As of 2020, 2019, and 2018
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
2020 2019 2018
Operating activities:
Net income $ 629,191 $ 242,464 $ 156,894
Adjustmnets to reconcile net income to net cash from operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization expense 138,848 135,686 114,025
Non-cash lease expense 246,442 229,143 -
Deferred income tax (52,415) 52,374 5,353
Non-cash share-based compensation expense 26,155 13,051 26,335
Non-cash impairment charge 1,792 3,986 141
(Gain) loss on disposition of property and equipment (462,916) (177,996) 732
Unrealized (gain) loss on fuel derivatives (294) 346 1,075
Change in assests and liabilities:
Inventories (19,028) 48,295 (96,772)
Accounts payable 20,193 (18,662) 45,677
Operating lease liabilities (250,131) (215,956) -
Current income taxes 56,564 (4,442) (14,108)
Other current assets (10,238) (5,836) (7,055)
Other current liabilities 55,775 36,962 (11,637)
Other assets (90) (5,499) 1,985
Other liabilities 19,501 5,054 11,415
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities $ 399,349 338,970 234,060
Investing activities:
Capital expenditures (135,220) (265,203) (232,402)
Cash proceeds from sale of property and equipment 588,258 190,741 519
Assets acquired under synthetic lease - - (128,872)
Payments for purchase of intangible assets - - (15,750)
Other (51) (18) 32
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities 452,987 (74,480) (376,473)
Financing activities:
Net (repayment of) proceeds from long-term debt (243,227) (80,609) 174,300
Net financing proceeds from sale and leaseback 123,435 - -
Payment of finance lease obligations (3,648) (73,469) (3,908)
Dividends paid (46,964) (48,421) (50,608)
Proceeds from the exercise of stock options 493 200 1,859
Payment for treasury shares acquired (175,642) (55,347) (111,750)
Proceeds from synthetic lease - - 128,872
Payments for debt issurance costs - (150) (1,495)
Other 52 (7) 1
Net cash proivded by (used in) financing activities (345,501) (257,803) 137,271
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 506,835 6,687 (5,142)
Cash and cash equivalents:
Beginning of year 52,721 46,034 51,176
End of year $ 559,556 $ 52,721 $ 46,034
Ollies Income Statements
Ollies Bargin Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Consolidated Income Statement
As of January 30, 2021, February 1, 2020, February 2, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 30, 2021 February 1, 2020 February 2, 2019
Net Sales $ 1,808,821 $ 1,408,199 $ 1,241,377
Cost of sales 1,085,455 852,610 743,726
Gross profit 723,366 555,589 497,651
Selling, general and administrative expenses 418,889 356,060 312,790
Depreciation and amortization expenses 16,705 14,582 11,664
Pre-opening expenses 10,272 13,092 11,143
Operating profit 277,500 171,855 162,054
Interest (income) expense, net (278) (878) 1,261
Loss on extinguishment of debt - - 150
Income before income taxes 277,778 172,733 160,643
Income tax expense 35,082 31,603 25,630
Net income $ 242,696 $ 141,130 $ 135,013
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 3.75 $ 2.23 $ 2.60
Dilute $ 3.68 $ 2.14 $ 2.05
Weighted average common shares outstanding:
Basic 64,748 63,214 62,568
Diluted 68,873 65,874 65,905
Ollies Balance Sheets
Ollies Bargin Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
As of January 30, 2021, February 1, 2020, February 2, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 30, 2021 February 1, 2020 February 2, 2019
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 447,126 $ 89,950 $ 51,941
Inventories $ 353,704 $ 335,181 $ 296,407
Accounts receivable $ 621 $ 2,840 $ 570
Prepaid expenses and other assets $ 7,316 $ 5,567 $ 9,579
Total current assets $ 808,767 $ 433,538 $ 358,497
Property and equipment, net $ 138,712 $ 132,084 $ 119,052
Operating lease right -of-use assets $ 380,546 $ 352,684 $ - 0
Goodwill $ 444,850 $ 444,850 $ 444,850
Trade name $ 230,559 $ 230,559 $ 232,304
Other assets $ 2,421 $ 2,532 $ 4,300
Total assets $ 2,005,855 $ 1,596,247 $ 1,159,003
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Current portion of long-term debt $ 328 $ 273 $ 238
Accounts payable 117,217 63,223 77,431
Income taxes payable 10,960 3,906 7,393
Current portion of operating lease liabilities 64,732 53,551 -
Accrued expenses and other 90,559 56,732 65,934
Total current liabilities 283,796 177,685 150,996
Revolving credit facility - - -
Long-term debt 656 527 441
Deferred income taxes 65,064 59,401 55,616
Long-term operating expense liabilities 321,454 299,743 -
Other long-term liabilities 4 6 9,298
Total liabilities 670,974 537,362 216,351
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders equity:
Preferred stock - 50,000 shares authorized at $0.001 par value; no shares issued - - -
Common stock - 500,000 shares authorized at $0.001 par value; 66,165, 63,712, and 63,015 shares issued, respectively 66 64 63
Additional paid-in capital 648,949 615,350 600,234
Retained earnings 726,267 483,571 342,441
Treasury - common stock at cost; 702, 698, and 9 shares, respectively (40,401) (40,100) (86)
Total shareholders equity 1,334,881 1,058,885 942,652
Total liabilities and shareholders equity $ 2,005,855 $ 1,596,247 $ 1,159,003
Ollies Cash Flows
Ollies Bargin Outlet Holdings, Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
As of January 30, 2021, February 1, 2020, February 2, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 30, 2021 February 1, 2020 February 2, 2019
Cash flows from operating activities:
Net income $ 141,130 $ 135,013 $ 127,594
Adjustmnets to reconcile net income to net cash from operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization of property and equipment 17,543 14,008 11,923
Amoritization of debt-issuance costs 296 482 640
Amoritization of original issue discount - 5 17
Loss on extinguishment of debt - 150 798
Amoritization of intangibles - 335 338
Gain on sale of assets (74) (48) (29)
Deferred income tax provision (benefit) 3,785 (1,568) (30,323)
Deferred rent expense - 1,590 1,920
Stock-based compensation expense 7,302 7,291 7,413
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Inventories (38,774) (41,222) (45,078)
Accounts receivable (2,270) 701 (970)
Prepaid expenses and other assets (870) (4,163) (4,424)
Accounts payable (15,513) 3,564 22,955
Income tax payable (3,487) 1,358 1,487
Accrued expenses and other liabilities (3,724) 8,583 1,675
Net cash provided by operating activities 105,344 126,079 95,936
Cash flows from investing activities:
Purchases of property and equipment (76,979) (74,178) (19,285)
Proceeds from sale of property and equipment 42,855 330 128
Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities (34,124) (73,848) (19,157)
Cash flows from financing activities:
Repayments on term loan and capital leases (460) (49,001) (146,422)
Payment of debt issuance costs (552) - -
Proceeds from stock option exercises 9,087 10,179 10,413
Common shares withheld for taxes (1,272) (702) (219)
Payment for shares repurchased (40,014) - -
Net cash used in financing activities (33,211) (39,524) (136,228)
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalments 38,009 12,707 (59,449)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 51,941 39,234 98,683
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 89,950 $ 51,941 $ 39,234
Supplemental cash flow information:
Cash paid for:
Interest $ 335 $ 807 $ 3,806
Income taxes $ 30,857 $ 26,112 $ 31,949
Non-cash transactions
Accrued purchases of property and equipment $ 4,562 $ 5,735 $ 1,925
Historical & Competitor Ratios
Dollar General Corporation COMPETITOR RATIO ANALYSIS
Historial Ratios
For the years ended January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
2021 2020 2019 Big Lots Ollies Bargin Outlet Industry Average
Liquidity
Current Ratio 1.21 1.14 1.55 1.58 2.85 1.27
Quick Ratio 0.24 0.05 0.08 0.56 1.58 0.54
Leverage Ratios
Debt to Total Assets Ratio 0.16 0.13 0.22 0.01 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.26 0.29 0.49 0.32 0.67 0.06
Long-Term Debt to Equity 0.62 0.43 0.45 0.03 0.00
Times Interest Earned Ratio 4.54 4.50 4.73 3.92 7.92
Activity Ratios
Inventory Turnover 3.04 2.86 3.02 2.64 2.08 8.35
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.09 5.83 5.93 5.43 8.83 4.40
Total Assets Turnover 1.30 1.22 1.94 1.54 0.90 2.13
Accounts Receivable Turnover
Average Collection Period
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Margin 31.76\% 30.59\% 30.45\% 40.29\% 39.99\% 19.45\%
Operating Profit Margin 10.53\% 8.30\% 8.26\% 13.82\% 15.34\% 4.39\%
Net Profit Margin 7.87\% 6.17\% 6.20\% 10.15\% 13.42\% 2.81\%
Return on Total Assets (ROA) 10.25\% 7.50\% 12.04\% 15.58\% 12.10\% 8.07\%
Return on Stockholders Equity 39.86\% 25.55\% 24.77\% 49.24\% 18.18\% 30.05\%
Earnings Per Share (EPS) 10.70 6.68 5.99 17.71 3.75 2.97
Price Earnings Ratio
Footnote:
https://www.readyratios.com/sec/industry/5311/
https://csimarket.com/Industry/industry_ManagementEffectiveness.php?ind=1303
Common Sized Balance Sheets
Dollar General Corporation
Common Sized Balance Sheets
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 January 31, 2020 February 1, 2019
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents 5\% 1\% 2\%
Merchandise inventoires 20\% 20\% 31\%
Income tax receivable 0\% 0\% 0\%
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 1\% 1\% 2\%
Total current assets 27\% 23\% 35\%
Net property and equipment 15\% 14\% 22\%
Operating lease assets 37\% 39\% 0\%
Goodwill 17\% 19\% 33\%
Other intangible assets, net 5\% 5\% 9\%
Other assets, net 0\% 0\% 0\%
Total assets 100\% 100\% 100\%
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Current portion of long-term obligation 0\% 0\% 0\%
Current portion of operating lease liabilities 4\% 4\% 0\%
Accounts payable 14\% 13\% 18\%
Accured expenses and other 4\% 3\% 5\%
Income taxes payable 0\% 0\% 0\%
Total current liabilities 22\% 20\% 23\%
Long-term obligations 16\% 13\% 22\%
Long-term operating lease liabilities 32\% 34\% 0\%
Deffered income taxes 3\% 3\% 5\%
Other liabilities 1\% 1\% 2\%
Commitments and contingencies 0\% 0\% 0\%
Shareholders equity: 0\% 0\% 0\%
Preferred stock 0\% 0\% 0\%
Common stock: $0.875 per value, 1,000,000 shares authorized, 240,785; 251,936; and 259,511 shares issued and outstanding at January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019 respectively 1\% 1\% 2\%
Additional paid-in capital 13\% 15\% 25\%
Retained earnings 12\% 14\% 22\%
Accummulated other comprehensive loss -0\% -0\% -0\%
Total shareholders equity 26\% 29\% 49\%
Total liabilities and shareholders equity 100\% 100\% 100\%
Common Sized Income Sheets
Dollar General Corporation
Common Sized Income Sheets
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 January 31, 2020 February 1, 2019
Net Sales 100\% 100\% 100\%
Cost of goods sold 68\% 69\% 70\%
Gross profit 32\% 31\% 30\%
Selling, general and administrative expenses 21\% 22\% 22\%
Operating profit 11\% 8\% 8\%
Interest expense 0\% 0\% 0\%
Other (income) expense 0\% 0\% 0\%
Income before income taxes 10\% 8\% 8\%
Income tax expense 2\% 2\% 2\%
Net income 8\% 6\% 6\%
Horizontal Analysis of Balance
Dollar General Corporation
Horizontal Analysis Balance Sheets
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 $ Change \% Change January 31, 2020 $ Change \% Change February 1, 2019
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,376,577 $ 1,136,257 473\% $ 240,320 $ 4,833 2\% $ 235,487
Merchandise inventoires 5,247,477 570,629 12\% 4,676,848 579,844 14\% 4,097,004
Income tax receivable 90,760 14,223 19\% 76,537 18,733 32\% 57,804
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 199,405 15,242 8\% 184,163 (88,562) -32\% 272,725
Total current assets 6,914,219 1,736,351 34\% 5,177,868 514,848 11\% 4,663,020
Net property and equipment 3,899,997 621,638 19\% 3,278,359 307,553 10\% 2,970,806
Operating lease assets 9,473,330 677,147 8\% 8,796,183 8,796,183 - -
Goodwill 4,338,589 - 0\% 4,338,589 - 0\% 4,338,589
Other intangible assets, net 1,199,870 (136) -0\% 1,200,006 (211) -0\% 1,200,217
Other assets, net 69,619 35,540 104\% 34,079 2,673 9\% 31,406
Total assets 25,895,624 3,070,540 13\% 22,825,084 9,621,046 73\% 13,204,038
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current liabilities:
Current portion of long-term obligation - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 (1,950) -100\% 1,950
Current portion of operating lease liabilities $ 1,074,079 $ 109,274 11\% $ 964,805 $ 964,805 $ -
Accounts payable 3,614,089 753,407 26\% 2,860,682 475,213 20\% 2,385,469
Accured expenses and other 1,006,552 297,396 42\% 709,156 90,751 15\% 618,405
Income taxes payable 16,063 7,701 92\% 8,362 (1,671) -17\% 10,033
Total current liabilities 5,710,783 1,167,778 26\% 4,543,005 1,527,148 51\% 3,015,857
Long-term obligations 4,130,975 1,218,982 42\% 2,911,993 49,253 2\% 2,862,740
Long-term operating lease liabilities 8,385,388 565,705 7\% 7,819,683 7,819,683 - 0
Deffered income taxes 710,549 35,322 5\% 675,227 65,540 11\% 609,687
Other liabilities 263,691 91,015 53\% 172,676 (125,685) -42\% 298,361
Commitments and contingencies
Shareholders equity:
Preferred stock - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
Common stock: $0.875 per value, 1,000,000 shares authorized, 240,785; 251,936; and 259,511 shares issued and outstanding at January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019 respectively 210,687 (9,757) -4\% 220,444 (6,628) -3\% 227,072
Additional paid-in capital 3,446,612 124,081 4\% 3,322,531 70,110 2\% 3,252,421
Retained earnings 3,006,102 (156,558) -5\% 3,162,660 221,553 8\% 2,941,107
Accummulated other comprehensive loss (2,163) 972 -31\% (3,135) 72 -2\% (3,207)
Total shareholders equity 6,661,238 (41,262) -1\% 6,702,500 285,107 4\% 6,417,393
Total liabilities and shareholders equity 25,862,624 3,037,540 13\% 22,825,084 9,621,046 73\% 13,204,038
Horizontal Analysis of Income
Dollar General Corporation
Horizontal Analysis Income Statement
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2021 $ Change \% Change January 31, 2020 $ Change \% Change February 1, 2019
Net Sales $ 33,746,839 $ 5,992,866 22\% $ 27,753,973 $ 2,128,930 8\% $ 25,625,043
Cost of goods sold $ 23,027,977 $ 3,763,065 20\% $ 19,264,912 $ 1,443,739 8\% $ 17,821,173
Gross profit $ 10,718,862 $ 2,229,801 26\% $ 8,489,061 $ 685,191 9\% $ 7,803,870
Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 7,164,097 $ 977,340 16\% $ 6,186,757 $ 499,193 9\% $ 5,687,564
Operating profit $ 3,554,765 $ 1,252,461 54\% $ 2,302,304 $ 185,998 9\% $ 2,116,306
Interest expense $ 150,385 $ 49,811 50\% $ 100,574 $ 703 1\% $ 99,871
Other (income) expense $ - 0 $ (1,019) -100\% $ 1,019
Income before income taxes $ 3,404,380 $ 1,202,650 55\% $ 2,201,730 $ 186,314 9\% $ 2,015,416
Income tax expense $ 749,330 $ 260,155 53\% $ 489,175 $ 63,231 15\% $ 425,944
Net income $ 2,655,050 $ 942,495 55\% $ 1,712,555 $ 123,083 8\% $ 1,589,472
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 10.70 $ 4.02 60\% $ 6.68 $ 0.69 12\% $ 5.99
Dilute $ 10.62 $ 3.98 60\% $ 6.64 $ 0.67 11\% $ 5.97
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Basic 248,171 $ (8,362.00) -3\% 256,533 $ (8,622.00) -3\% 265,155
Dilute 250,076 $ (7,977.00) -3\% 258,053 $ (8,052.00) -3\% 266,105
Dividends per share $ 1.44 $ 0.16 13\% $ 1.28 $ 0.12 10\% $ 1.16
Projected Income Statements
Dollar General Corporation
Projected Income Statement
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2022 January 29, 2023 January 29, 2024
Net Sales $ 35,197,953 $ 36,605,871 $ 38,033,500
Cost of goods sold $ 23,582,629 $ 24,159,875 $ 24,721,775
Gross profit $ 11,615,325 $ 12,445,996 $ 13,311,725
Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 7,472,153 $ 6,434,227 $ 5,909,379
Operating profit $ 4,143,171 $ 6,011,769 $ 7,402,346
Interest expense $ 94,706 $ 94,706 $ 94,706
Other (income) expense $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0
Income before income taxes $ 4,048,465 $ 5,917,063 $ 7,307,640
Income tax expense $ 661,722 $ 688,190 $ 715,030
Net income $ 3,386,743 $ 5,228,872 $ 6,592,610
Assumptions:
1. Net Sales: According to Dun & Bradstreet, Dollar & Other General Merchandise Stores will have an average revenue growth of 4.3\% in 2022, 4.0\% in 2023 and 3.9\% in 2024. (General Merchandise and Variety Stores, Dollar Stores, Departments Stores and Warehouse Clubs Industry (U.S.) Analytics, Extensive Financial Benchmarks, Metrics and Revenue Forecasts to 2027, p. 13)
2. COGS: Average over the last three years has decreased by 1\% each year.
3. SG&A can be forecasted as the same rate as the revenue growth.
4. Interest Expense: Interest expense increased $49.8 million to $150.4 million in 2020 compared to 2019, primarily due to higher average outstanding debt balances in connection with the issuance of debt in the first quarter of 2020, and increased $0.7 million to $100.6 million in 2019 compared to 2018. 284,119 (in thousands) are due in the next 1-3 years. Average is $94,706.33. (“United States Securities and Exchange Commission - Dollar General Corporation”, p. 36)
5. Taxes: Used average over the last three years = 1.88\% of net sales according to the Common Sized Income Statement percentages.
6. Dollar General plans to increase stores by 6\% each year.
References
General Merchandise and Variety Stores, Dollar Stores, Departments Stores and Warehouse Clubs Industry (U.S.) Analytics, Extensive Financial Benchmarks, Metrics and Revenue Forecasts to 2027, NAIC 452000 Published May 26, 2021. (2021). (). Houston: Plunkett Research, Ltd. Retrieved from Entrepreneurship Database; ProQuest Central http://ezproxy.liberty.edu/login?qurl=https\%3A\%2F\%2Fwww.proquest.com\%2Freports\%2Fgeneral-merchandise-variety-stores-dollar\%2Fdocview\%2F2537157230\%2Fse-2\%3Faccountid\%3D12085
“United States Securities and Exchange Commission - Dollar General Corporation.” Sec.gov, 29 Jan. 2021, www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/29534/000155837021003245/dg-20210129x10k.htm#ITEM7MANAGEMENTSDISCUSSIONANDANALYSIS_58. Accessed 7 Aug. 2021.
Other Research:
Corporate Finance Academy. “Income Statement Forecasting - How to Do a 5 Year Forecast in Excel.” YouTube, 26 Nov. 2020, www.youtube.com/watch?v=6FMPZCMoAKY. Accessed 7 Aug. 2021.
Projected Balance Sheets
Dollar General Corporation
Projected Balance Sheets
As of January 29, 2021, January 31, 2020, and February 1, 2019
$s in thousands, expect per share amounts
For the Year Ended
January 29, 2022 January 29, 2023 January 29, 2024
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,401,351 $ 1,457,405 $ 1,514,244
Merchandise inventoires 5,473,119 5,692,043 5,914,033
Income tax receivable 94,663 98,449 102,289
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 207,979 216,299 224,734
Total current assets 7,177,112 7,464,196 7,755,300
Net property and equipment 4,067,697 4,230,405 4,395,391
Operating lease assets 9,880,683 10,275,911 10,676,671
Goodwill 4,525,148 4,706,154 4,889,694
Other intangible assets, net 1,251,464 1,301,523 1,352,282
Other assets, net 72,613 75,517
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