DELIVERABLE 5 - FORECASTING METHODS AND APPLICATIONS

Deliverable 5 - Forecasting Methods and Applications - Accounting
PLACE ORDER
Assignment Content Competency Employ accounting data for business analysis and prediction. Student Success Criteria View the grading rubric for this deliverable by selecting the “This item is graded with a rubric” link, which is located in the Details & Information pane. Scenario The Corporate Controller has called you into a planning session and asked you to help with the preparation of an income statement forecast for the coming three years. You both discuss the project and decide that the data you will need it is: The last 5 years of income statements A forecast of economic data for key economic indicators The basic assumptions the company is making in their business plan Instructions The Corporate Controller would like you to use Excel to prepare a high-level, 3-year forecast (income statement format) incorporating the historical, economic forecast, and assumptions provided by the Corporate Controller. The Corporate Controller also states that the Board of Directors loves to see “pictures” of summary data rather than a “bunch of numbers.” The Corporate Controller suggests that on a separate tab in Excel to use the graphing function to display total revenues and expenses for the periods covered. Create and Excel spreadsheet with two tabs labeled: Tab 1: 3-Year Income Statement Forecast Tab 2: Graphs On Tab 1: 3-Year Income Statement Forecast, use the same income statement format and titles as the historical data provided. Template to Use: Sheet1 Assessment #5 Financial Data Income Statement All numbers in thousands Revenue 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Total Revenue 806,338 766,083 529,515 450,557 486,280 Cost of Revenue 206,052 187,289 131,070 102,571 121,020 Gross Profit 600,286 578,794 398,445 347,986 365,260 Operating Expenses Research Development 116,445 99,205 78,269 69,791 59,880 Selling General and Administrative 262,699 220,728 166,110 151,651 383,240 Total Operating Expenses 379,144 319,933 244,379 221,442 443,120 Operating Income or Loss 221,142 258,861 154,066 126,544 (77,860) Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net 13,432 7,603 8,011 418 504 Net Income 207,710 251,258 146,055 126,126 (78,364) Source: Congressional Budget Office Assumptions specific to Company Category Assumption Total Revenue Management projects revenue to continue same trend as previous 5 years Cost of Revenue Management is implementing cost savings programs that should reduce the cost of revenue to approximately 2016 levels as a percentage Research Development Management believes that new products are the life blood of the company and will continue with it current trend of R& D expenses Selling General and Administrative Management projects that all other expense increases will be in line with Inflation Summary Table 1. CBO’s Projections of Key Economic Indicators for Calendar Years 2018 to 2028 Annual Average Actual, 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021– 2022 2023– 2028 Percentage Change From Fourth Quarter to Fourth Quarter Gross Domestic Product Reala 2.6 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.7 Nominal 4.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.9 Inflation PCE price index 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 Core PCE price indexb 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 Annual Average Unemployment Rate (Percent) 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.4 4.8 Payroll Employment (Monthly change, in thousands)c 181 211 182 62 25 57 Interest Rates (Percent) Three-month Treasury bills 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.7 2.8 Ten-year Treasury notes 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 Summary Table 1. CBO’s Projections of Key Economic Indicators for Calendar Years 2018 to 2028 Annual Average Actual, 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021– 2022 2023– 2028 Percentage Change From Fourth Quarter to Fourth Quarter Gross Domestic Product Reala 2.6 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.7 Nominal 4.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.9 Inflation PCE price index 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 Core PCE price indexb 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 Annual Average Unemployment Rate (Percent) 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.4 4.8 Payroll Employment (Monthly change, in thousands)c 181 211 182 62 25 57 Interest Rates (Percent) Three-month Treasury bills 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.7 2.8 Ten-year Treasury notes 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 Sheet1 Income Statement All numbers in thousands Revenue 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Total Revenue 806,338 766,083 529,515 450,557 486,280 Cost of Revenue 206,052 187,289 131,070 102,571 121,020 Gross Profit 600,286 578,794 398,445 347,986 365,260 Operating Expenses Research Development 116,445 99,205 78,269 69,791 59,880 Selling General and Administrative 262,699 220,728 166,110 151,651 383,240 Total Operating Expenses 379,144 319,933 244,379 221,442 443,120 Operating Income or Loss 221,142 258,861 154,066 126,544 (77,860) Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net 13,432 7,603 8,011 418 504 Net Income 207,710 251,258 146,055 126,126 (78,364) Source: Congressional Budget Office Assumptions specific to Company Category Assumption Total Revenue Management projects revenue to continue same trend as previous 5 years Cost of Revenue Management is implementing cost savings programs that should reduce the cost of revenue to approximately 2016 levels as a percentage Research Development Management believes that new products are the life blood of the company and will continue with it current trend of R& D expenses Selling General and Administrative Management projects that all other expense increases will be in line with Inflation 3-Year IS Forecast FORECASTED DATA HISTORIC DATA All numbers in thousands 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Revenue Total Revenue $ 806,338 $ 766,083 $ 529,515 $ 450,557 $ 486,280 Cost of Revenue $ 206,052 $ 187,289 $ 131,070 $ 102,571 $ 121,020 Gross Profit $ 600,286 $ 578,794 $ 398,445 $ 347,986 $ 365,260 Operating Expenses Research Development $ 116,445 $ 99,205 $ 78,269 $ 69,791 $ 59,880 Selling General and Administrative $ 262,699 $ 220,728 $ 166,110 $ 151,651 $ 383,240 Total Operating Expenses $ 379,144 $ 319,933 $ 244,379 $ 221,442 $ 443,120 Operating Income or Loss $ 221,142 $ 258,861 $ 154,066 $ 126,544 $ (77,860) Income from Continuing Operations Total Other Income/Expenses Net $ 13,432 $ 7,603 $ 8,011 $ 418 $ 504 Net Income $ 207,710 $ 251,258 $ 146,055 $ 126,126 $ (78,364) PROJECTIONS 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 AVERAGE PERCENT Revenue YOY ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! Cost of Revenue YOY 2016 ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! Research Development YOY ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! SG&A Trend Inflation rates or PCE price index 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1000 2\% Total other income/expenses ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! Graphs Summary Table 1. CBO’s Projections of Key Economic Indicators for Calendar Years 2018 to 2028 Annual Average Actual, 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021– 2022 2023– 2028 Percentage Change From Fourth Quarter to Fourth Quarter Gross Domestic Product Reala 2.6 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.7 Nominal 4.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.9 Inflation PCE price index 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 Core PCE price indexb 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 Annual Average Unemployment Rate (Percent) 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.4 4.8 Payroll Employment (Monthly change, in thousands)c 181 211 182 62 25 57 Interest Rates (Percent) Three-month Treasury bills 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.7 2.8 Ten-year Treasury notes 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 Summary Table 1. CBO’s Projections of Key Economic Indicators for Calendar Years 2018 to 2028 Annual Average Actual, 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021– 2022 2023– 2028 Percentage Change From Fourth Quarter to Fourth Quarter Gross Domestic Product Reala 2.6 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.7 Nominal 4.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.7 3.9 Inflation PCE price index 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 Core PCE price indexb 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 Annual Average Unemployment Rate (Percent) 4.4 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.4 4.8 Payroll Employment (Monthly change, in thousands)c 181 211 182 62 25 57 Interest Rates (Percent) Three-month Treasury bills 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.6 3.7 2.8 Ten-year Treasury notes 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.7 CategoryAssumption Total RevenueManagement projects revenue to continue same trend as previous 5 years Cost of Revenue Management is implementing cost savings programs that should reduce the cost of revenue to approximately 2016 levels as a percentage Research Development Management believes that new products are the life blood of the company and will continue with it current trend of R& D expenses Selling General and Administrative Management projects that all other expense increases will be in line with Inflation CBOs Projections of Key Economic Indicators 2023-20282021-20222020201920182017 Annual Average GDP Percentage1.71.51.82.43.32.6 Nominal Inflation4.55.24.53.93.73.9 PCE Price Index22.12.121.81.7 Core PCE Price Index22.12.22.11.91.5 Unemployment Rate (Percent)4.84.43.63.33.84.4 Payroll Employment (Monthly change, in thousands)572562182211181 Interest Rates (Percent)2.83.73.62.91.90.9 Ten - year Treasury notes3.74.14.13.732.3
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Your assignment may be more than 5 paragraphs but not less. INSTRUCTIONS:  To access the FNU Online Library for journals and articles you can go the FNU library link here:  https://www.fnu.edu/library/ In order to n that draws upon the theoretical reading to explain and contextualize the design choices. Be sure to directly quote or paraphrase the reading ce to the vaccine. Your campaign must educate and inform the audience on the benefits but also create for safe and open dialogue. A key metric of your campaign will be the direct increase in numbers.  Key outcomes: The approach that you take must be clear Mechanical Engineering Organic chemistry Geometry nment Topic You will need to pick one topic for your project (5 pts) Literature search You will need to perform a literature search for your topic Geophysics you been involved with a company doing a redesign of business processes Communication on Customer Relations. 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